tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21924521513614296132024-03-08T06:21:44.963-08:00Hoosier Fun Ball Rating SystemIndiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.comBlogger23125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-47736524524233496752011-08-01T07:05:00.000-07:002011-08-01T07:45:53.425-07:00Nebraska comes to the Big TenI crunched the efficiency numbers for Nebraska in Big XII games last season, and I don't think they really need to be adjusted much as that conference was relatively neck-and-neck with the Big Ten for toughness of schedule. <br />The full spreadsheet for the 2011 Big Ten season can still be <a href="https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AtN4Z5PYfudodEpBSUc1ZVlJdnk1aDNZY0dPazg5N0E&output=html">found here</a>, for comparison, but I'll break it down for you. <br /><br />Nebraska basketball<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">player (possessions per game) production per game, production per possession</span><br />Lance Jeter (49.9) 24.2, .4858<br />Brian Jorge Diaz (43.3) 12.8, .2942<br />Toney McCray (38.3) 12.9, .3359<br />Brandon Richardson (39.9) 10.7, .2684<br />Caleb Walker (33.7) 11.6, .3458<br />Brandon Ubel (29.7) 7.3, .2469<br />Drake Beranek (27.8) 6.3, .2274<br />Andre Almedia (19.8) 7.5, .3779<br />Eshaunte Jones (18.8) 4.5, .2374<br />Ray Gallegos (11.2) 0.3, .0284<br />Christopher Niemann (4.1) 0.0, .0000<br /><br />The first thing that pops out is that for possessing some decent if underwhelming per-game stats, Lance Jeter's efficiency performance would've landed him between Jordan Taylor & JaJuan Johnson last season. Woof. It's a good thing the Big Ten won't be facing him, as he and shooter Drake Beranek graduated. The next most-efficient player was Andre Almeida, who despite looking good on this scale, would've been slotted between Adriean Payne and David Curletti for reserve bigs. Returning forwards Toney McCray & Caleb Walker look pretty decent among returing Big Ten players, and rank in the top 25 in per-possession efficiency (although just 25th & 22nd, respectively). The other two big men, Brian Jorge Diaz & Brandon Ubel, are pretty mediocre, and the bench outside of Almeida is really unimpressive. Throw in an underwhelming recruiting class and the fact that low-efficiency gunner Bo Spencer is slated to take Jeter's minutes, and the inaugural Big Ten basketball road schedule looks fairly challenging for Doc Sadler's squad. While I think McCray & Walker will be nice features of the Nebraska 2012 team, and I do believe that individual statistical performance is no sure measure of future team success (cough* Illinois *cough), on the other hand, there's not much here to suggest that these guys could be any better than Michigan or Indiana. It really must fall on guards Brandon Richardson (who's right in the statistical neighborhood of Jordan Hulls) and Eshaunte Jones (ditto ...Will Sheehey) to improve their efficiency if the Huskers are to have achieve their hope and advance to a postseason.Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-64290372611058156232011-07-21T12:16:00.000-07:002011-07-21T13:08:34.656-07:002011 School-by-school notes<span style="font-weight:bold;">Illinois</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Mike Davis, Mike Tisdale, Demetri McCamey all had arguments for being the top player on the team, but Jereme Richmond was simply the best in per-possession terms. Richmond's per-game production and lack of maturity didn't wow the NBA scouts, however. Without Richmond on the team, and without seniors Davis, Tisdale, McCamey, or Bill Cole in the line-up, Brandon Paul seems sure to be the featured scorer next season. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span>The regression of Tyler Griffey, Meyers Leonard, and even DJ Richardson over the course of the season has got to concern Bruce Weber. He's got a nice-rated recruiting class and a nice transfer in point Sam Maniscalco, but I just don't see a winning team in Champaign next season. I think I'm the only one, but frosh bigs don't often immediately succeed under Weber, and returning bigs Leonard & Griffey were hovering around Ahanmisi-levels of per-possession effectiveness, so how do the Illini compete in the paint?<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Obviously Brandon Paul needs the most minutes of the returnees, but despite my criticism above I would still argue that Meyers Leonard needs to be force-fed minutes. Really, unless Shaw, Egwu, and/or Djimide are way under-rated, Leonard's the only hope for the Illini to have a post-season next year.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Indiana</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Tom Pritchard's nice bounce-back after a very disappointing sophomore campaign is really one of the best stories here. Victor Oladipo really opened some eyes with a solid freshman campaign - hanging in the area of Tim Hardaway & Josh Gasser in per-possession terms. Injuries clearly played a part of Verdell Jones and Christian Watford's reduced effectiveness, and as these two players were the hubs of IU's offense this year, when their timing was off, the Hoosiers struggled. Jordan Hulls, despite a late slump, did have a nice jump in overall efficiency despite playing crazy minutes. Still, Jones and Pritchard were the only decent high-usage players that IU had this year, and it showed.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Bobby Capobianco & Derek Elston's regression was disappointing, but so was the whole team peaking mid-conference. Elston is really has to bounce back, but given Pritchard's development, there's hope. I was personally a little disappointed in Matt Roth's career becoming little more than desperation-three specialist. Will Sheehey didn't post great numbers, but there'll be PT for anyone as eagerly willing to guard anyone on the floor.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Victor Oladipo was such an obvious choice for more playing time that the Big Ten Geeks created a #FreeOladipo hashtag. And it's true, he does need to play more, as he was the best per-possession player for the Hoosiers. Tom Pritchard has bounced back nicely from a disappointing sophomore season, and should be ready shoulder decent minutes alongside incoming frosh Cody Zeller. Even if Verdell Jones and Christian Watford can end their struggles by shifting to the wing and staying healthy, and Hulls runs the point efficiently while Zeller & Pritchard hold down the paint without encountering massive foul trouble - even then Crean should still be able to find starting minutes for Oladipo.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Iowa</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Melsahn Basabe is the surprise of the conference, but Bryce Cartwright should be mentioned, too. The fact that Fran McCaffrey was able to bring in two Big Ten-level starters over the summer should serve notice to the rest of the league- don't sleep on Iowa!<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Matt Gatens and Eric May have not been the improved players I expected them to be, with May in particularly regressing. Frosh Zach McCabe and Roy Devyn Marble weren't all that great, either. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span>Cartwright and Basabe shouldn't lose any minutes, but Devon Archie and Andrew Brommer have been nice surprises off the bench. I don't see any need for increased PT for any one player going into next season other than Archie, but he has the combo of a low free throw % and a turnover rate that tends make coaches nervous. Archie's probably the best option to help Basabe inside, but I'm guessing Brommer gets the starting nod next season.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Darius Morris' improvement has been jaw-dropping indeed. He has the look of a future NBA point guard, and no Big Ten team relies so heavily on one player to create offense. Zach Novak's improved performance tailed off in the second half of the season, but I suspect that was due to the fact that the team was figuring out to best utilize stellar frosh Tim Hardaway Jr. Jordan Morgan also had a very nice frosh campaign in the middle, but his best games (like v. NU) tended to come when Morris was breaking down the defense and giving him wide-open dunks and lay-ups. It'll be interesting to see what Morgan and the rest of the Wolverines can do without Morris next season.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Evan Smotrycz is currently to be the least efficient player in the rotation. Blake McLimans hasn't seen much time, but registering zeroes is never a good sign.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Clearly Hardaway's going to get more minutes, and the incoming freshmen backcourt will probably be given lots of opportunities to succeed. However, without Morris, senior Stu Douglass will have to see his already large PT load largely devoted to running the point and Novak will probably be initiating the offense. I'm not super-optimistic on the 2011-2012 Wolverines, but I wasn't last year either.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Still Draymond Green. Simply the best per-possession and per-game player in the conference, and a very, very large part of all of MSU's close wins. Kalin Lucas appears to be playing at the best of his career, and Delvon Roe is second only to Sullinger and JaJuan Johnson in the middle.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Three top-ten players, and this is still a mediocre team in the conference. Along with Minnesota, this was one of the big mysteries of the conference with how an Izzo-led team that was so talented was barely able to get into the NCAA tourney. Of the players coming back next season, I'm largely concerned with Keith Appling, whose numbers weren't so bad for a freshmen off-guard, but have to improve if he's playing point guard. And Appling probably will need to be a steady presence in the backcourt as transfer Brandon Wood seems likely to step right into Kalin Lucas' scoring point role.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span>Granted, my system favors reserve big men, but Derrick Nix and Adriean Payne seem to be the best of that bunch. Unfortunately, Green and Roe seem to do best at the 4 and 5-spots, and not the 3 and 4. They'll be good insurance if Roe continues to have health problems, tho. Outside of that... well, the freshmen, redshirts, and transfers will have a lot of opportunity to make big impacts if they're ready.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Minnesota</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> For a guy who I never expected to play, Trevor Mbakwe has been truly jaw-droppingly good. Clearly the best bet to play in the NBA, Mbakwe is a monster rebounder and giant presence inside. It's probably because he's so good in the paint (and only in the paint) that Ralph Sampson III has tried to show his versatility by taking his game outside more often... with *ahem* mixed results. Otherwise, Rodney Williams also posted above-average e per-possession numbers, but didn't really show any growth from his frosh campaign. Blake Hoffarber actually rebounded nicely from a rough transition to point guard, after the Gophers lost a top ten-type guy at the spot with Al Nolen's injury.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> The depth for next season is largely dependent on the freshmen and redshirts, and it's all question marks at this point. One thing is for certain, the out-of-his-depth Maverick Ahanmisi is unlikely to challenge for significant playing time again.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span> Blake Hoffarber's efficiency rebounded down the stretch, although the team backpedaled its way out the NCAA tournament. Austin Hollins ended up with decent stats - due largely to an impressive steal rate, but I'd still look for Tubby's talented freshmen & Juco guards to really get the first crack at starting next season. The frontcourt is very impressive, and Tubby could sneak them into the NCAA tournament again, but they'll need to get every break they didn't get last season.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Northwestern</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Juice Thompson was quite the leader this year despite shouldering insane minutes, and guards Alex Marcotullio and JerShon Cobb have been pleasant surprises as well. Davide Curletti posted the sort of numbers one expects from a reserve big man, and should help keep the paint under control even as the overall depth thins out next year.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span>Drew Crawford has really faded from a stellar freshman performance, and Shurna has also taken a step back due to various injuries. Are the injuries a result of the insane minutes that Carmody is making Shurna play out of position? It's hard to tell at this point, as both could bounce back easily, but the two issues that concern me the most for the Wildcats in 2011-2012 are depth and point guard.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Davide Curletti, Cobb, and Marcotullio should see essentially starter's minutes next season, but it'll be hard to get by without giving either raw recruits Tre Demps and/or David Sobolewski heavy minutes at the point. If Demps is impact-ready, than NU's NCAA tourney hopes have never been higher. If recruiting rankings are accurate, the last best chance for Carmody to break the "curse" probably sails on by in 2012.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Ohio State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Jared Sullinger was still great even with a second-half decline. Really amazing was the high level of play displayed by Aaron Craft as a freshman point. This was an incredible freshman class when you consider that wings Lenzelle Smith and Jordan Sibert were largely disappointing and transfer Evan Ravenel and forward JD Weatherspoon didn't even play. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span> Dallas Lauderdale regressed on efficiency, but he largely gave the team what they needed. Lenzelle Smith and Jordan Sibert got very few minutes and didn't do much in the time that they had them, which may not seem like such a big deal except that there's no developed depth for next year on the perimeter. With a great recruiting class coming in, one assumes that Matta will have a lot more depth next year, but there are a number of question marks.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> DeShaun Thomas is the one guy on the team who really looks like he deserves more minutes than he gets. His three-point stroke and rebounding should play very well with Sullinger, but together they're a bit of a short frontcourt. It's likely that incoming frosh Amir Williams or transfer Evan Ravenel get the starting nod for this reason, but Matta really needs someone else to show up on the wing alongside William Buford, who looks to be the primary go-to scorer for next season.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Penn State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Jeff Brooks & Talor Battle. Jeff Brooks was an amazing presence inside, and Jackson and Battle have both been at the top of the standings for their positions, and even better, Tim Frazier looks to be the star of next year's team. Talor Battle's shift to off-guard hurt his efficiency a little bit, but allowed Frazier to shine and gave PSU the spacing it needed to maximize Brooks' scoring ability. Give DeChellis credit for squeezing two point guards and two power forwards into a line-up that got the Lions into the field of 68 for the first time in years.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> I could carp about Andrew Jones, but the problem for new coach Pat Chambers is that there was zero depth here. Billy Oliver, Cameron Woodyard, and Jemaine Marshall are put up walk-on numbers. All three ranked in the bottom third of the conference, and returning redshirted center Sasa Borovnjak was hardly the model of per-possession efficiency in 2010, slotted between Jon Lickliter & Austin Thorton.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span>Tim Frazier and um, uh.... cough cough. Sasa Borovnjak and the freshmen better be ready to make an impact, 'cause when Jemaine Marshall (per-possession, the 51st-ranked returning player in the conference) is your #2 option, you know you're in trouble. New Coach Pat Chambers is going to take one on the chin next season, but luckily the first season after a big coaching change is usually a freebie. However, more ominous for PSU fans is the fact that your coach, coming off an unusually successful season, jumps at a chance to coach the Navy team. Ouch!<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Purdue</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> JaJuan Johnson was outstanding as the best center in the conference - and he had some very stiff competition. E'Twuann Moore was fantastic on the wing, and guards Lewis Jackson & Ryne Smith stepped up beyond what anyone could expect. DJ Byrd also opened some eyes with his scrappy performances, but hopefully he plays less power forward next year as he caused the team some real defensive match-up problems. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Painter got essentially nothing out of bench bigs Bade & Marcius, and Bade has now left the team. The paint will be occupied for Painter next season by Robbie Hummel (and his hopefully healthy knees) and sophomore Travis Carroll, with back-up from Marcius and two not particularly large freshmen.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span>Losing Moore (a four-year production star) and Johnson (who shined both years Hummel was out) really hurts, tho. Ryne Smith & Lewis Jackson provide one of the league's best backcourts, but questions abound. Can Hummel come back at the sort of star-level performance that everyone's accustomed to? How do Travis Carroll and the incoming freshmen bigs hold down the paint? What's with Kelsey Barlow? Will Terone Johnson improve enough to start on the wing, or will DJ Byrd & Ryne Smith have to hold those spots down? I'm curious to see how , but I just know that Painter will have another solid team next season that's once again involved in the Big Ten championship race.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Wisconsin</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Jordan Taylor really locks this one up as his growth curve has been outstanding over the last several seasons. Taylor goes into his senior year as the primary reason for confidence that coach Bo Ryan has. However, Josh Gasser also deserves mention as a nice find as a freshman, and Jared Berggren's solid performance in very limited minutes should suggest that he's ready to be at least a part-time starter.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span>Outside of Taylor, Gasser, and Berggren - who else should get more minutes? Certainly Mike Bruesewitz will, but he was not as impressive off the bench this season as I thought he would be. I really thought Ryan Evans and Rob Wilson would step up their effective production, and they really didn't. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span>Berggren and Bruesewitz will get more minutes, but they were really only average in per-possession terms, and Bo is going to need heavy minutes out of redshirt Evan Anderson and either of the frosh big men (most likely Jared Uthoff). Some depth on the wings would really be nice too, but either Ben Brust needs to show up or Ryan Evans needs to play every game like it's the final minute of the Purdue game.Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-54368317727718500322011-07-21T12:04:00.001-07:002011-07-21T12:16:08.912-07:002011 Final RatingsThe full spreadsheet can be <a href="https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AtN4Z5PYfudodEpBSUc1ZVlJdnk1aDNZY0dPazg5N0E&output=html">found here</a>. The what and why can be <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2009/01/my-rating-system-and-why-it-is-way-it.html">found here</a>.<br /><br />It was an interesting year in the Big Ten in efficiency terms. Overall, the overall average efficiency took a bit of dive in the second half of conference play, and while there were of course exceptions, it's interesting that the per-possession median and the per-game production actually went up. One easy explanation is that coaches just followed Thad Matta and Bill Carmody's lead and shortened their benches, trying to squeeze more out of their best players even if it meant they were less efficient. Personally, I definitely prefer Izzo's play every guy approach, but it's not my job on the line, I suppose. Anyway, without further ado, the stats and top performers!<br /><br />Overall per-game mean: 11.1<br />Overall per-game median: 10.4<br />Overall per-possession mean: .2994<br />Overall per-possession median: .3077<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten Per-possession</span><br />1. Draymond Green, MSU (.5611)<br />2. Jordan Taylor, Wis. (.5451)<br />3. Jajaun Johnson, Pur. (.4791)<br />4. Jared Sullinger, OSU (.4769)<br />5. Melsahn Basabe, Iowa (.4661)<br />6. Trevor Mbakwe, Minn. (.4635)<br />7. Jeff Brooks, PSU (.4624)<br />8. Delvon Roe, MSU (.4519)<br />9. Jon Leuer, Wis. (.4395)<br />10. Derrick Nix, MSU (.4303)<br /><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Special Mention: Al Nolen, Minn. (.4385)</span><br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten Per-game Producers</span><br />1. Jordan Taylor, Wis. (28.6)<br />2. Jajaun Johnson, Pur. (28.2)<br />3. Draymond Green, MSU (27.3)<br />4. Jared Sullinger, OSU (25.3)<br />5. Trevor Mbakwe, Minn. (23.8)<br />6. Jeff Brooks, PSU (23.6)<br />7. E'Twuann Moore, Pur. (23.4)<br />8. Mike Davis, Illinois (22.5)<br />9. Darius Morris, Mich. (22.3)<br />10. Jon Leuer, Wis. (21.3)<br /> <br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Freshmen Fifteen</span><br />Jared Sullinger, OSU 28.2/.4769<br />Jereme Richmond, Illinois 15.3/.4246<br />Aaron Craft 18.2/.3704<br />Tim Hardaway, Mich. 17.3/.3601<br />Josh Gasser, Wis. 14.5/.3587<br /><br />Victor Oladipo, Ind. 10.4/.3505<br />Adriean Payne, MSU 4.9/.3761<br />Jordan Morgan, Mich. 12.8/.3322<br />DeShaun Thomas, OSU 5.9/.3199<br />JerShon Cobb, NU 12.1/.3079<br /><br />Austin Hollins, Minn. 7.8/.3046<br />Chip Armelin, Minn. 4.8/.2699<br />Travis Carroll, Pur. 3.9/.2676<br />Terone Johnson, Pur. 7.8/.2558<br />Keith Appling, MSU 10.4/.2557<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">and at #16: Will Sheehey, Ind. 6.1/.2387</span>Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-64961431663609840302011-02-15T12:04:00.001-08:002011-02-15T12:04:45.829-08:002011 mid-season team notes on player efficienciesMy analysis, <a href="http://hoosierfunball.blogspot.com/2011/02/2011-midconference-player-efficiency.html">cross-posted</a>, of the <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2011/02/2011-ratings-conference-halfway-point.html">individual player rating stats</a> I crunched for the first-half of the conference season, and what it might mean for each Big Ten team. The rating system and its explanation can be <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2009/01/my-rating-system-and-why-it-is-way-it.html">found here</a>. Without further ado, here's my school-by-school notes.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Illinois</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good! </span>McCamey's been pretty good still, but not the senior superstar most expected. Mike Davis is playing as well as he ever has, but the real surprise is despite Bill Cole's solid performance, Jereme Richmond is just flat-out demanding more minutes with his very good numbers. Richmond is the future of the Illini, and it'll be interesting to see how next year's stellar class fits in with him.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> DJ Richardson continues hit open jumpers and not do much else, and Brandon Paul shoots a lot without much efficiency. However, the regression of Tyler Griffey and Meyers Leonard in conference play has to concern Bruce Weber. If Davis or Mike Tisdale aren't playing aggressively, who does he go to?<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Joseph Bertrand has posted good efficiency numbers is his very limited minutes, and probably deserves some more time. However, he'd have to take minutes away from Cole or Richmond for that to happen this season. Otherwise, I think the perception of this being a disappointing season for the Illini is a little overstated by their fans. The Big Ten is a great conference this year, and it's hard to win a lot of games with seniors who never really displayed dominance as a team.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Indiana</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Uhhhhh, maybe "jaw-droppingly average?" Verdell Jones maintaining his effective performance despite injuries bears mention, as does Jordan Hulls' giant jump in efficiency despite increased usage. Christian Watford's average performance as a featured part of the offense has been pleasant for IU fans, as has his relatively quick return from injury. Jeremiah Rivers would be really good if only he could keep the turnovers under control.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Maurice Creek was, unfortunately, the disappointment of the season, as he would've been valuable if he'd been 80% the player he was as a freshman. Creek was pretty obviously less than 50% before his injury. Bobby Capobianco & Derek Elston's regression has also been disappointing, but maybe that's just how Crean develops big men. After all….<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span>Tom Pritchard has bounced back nicely from a disappointing sophomore season, and is really the guy IU needs to play heavy minutes if they are to continue to surprise quality opponents (and the Big Ten has nothing quality opponents). Victor Oladipo does need to play more, as he's the best per-possession player for the Hoosiers, but I do like having Will Sheehey start – he seems to have quick hands and an aggressive attitude from the opening tip that's catching. And if he picks up a foul or two early, it's not crippling for the team. Matt Roth also is playing decently in-conference.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Iowa</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Melsahn Basabe is the surprise of the conference, but Bryce Cartwright should be mentioned, too. The fact that Fran McCaffrey was able to bring in two Big Ten-level starters over the summer should serve notice to the rest of the league- don't sleep on Iowa!<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Matt Gatens and Eric May have not been the improved players I expected them to be, and Zach McCabe and Devyn Marble haven't been all that great, either. Still, Marble at least looks to be a future starter for the Hawkeyes, and May is recovering from injuries.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Jarryd Cole and Basabe shouldn't lose any minutes, but Devon Archie and Andrew Brommer have been nice surprises off the bench. Outside of Marble, I don't see any need for increased PT for any one player, but it's been surprising how fast McCaffrey has made this a dangerous team with an entirely different playing style.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Darius Morris' improvement has been jaw-dropping indeed. He has the look of a future NBA point guard, and no Big Ten team relies so heavily on one player to create offense. Maybe others have been surprised, but I think Novak's improved performance this year was to be expected. After all, he's finally playing in position, & is no longer forced to match up against guys like Blake Griffin!<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span>Stu Douglass, Jordan Morgan, and Tim Hardaway weren't looking all that great efficiency-wise, but post-number-crunching they each have had breakout games, so who knows. Evan Smotrycz is currently to be the least efficient player in the rotation. Blake McLimans hasn't seen much time, but registering zeroes is never a good sign.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span>Jon Horford should see a few more minutes, in my estimation, as Jordan Morgan was the worst starting center in the conference. However, Morgan's got the size and runs a mean pick-and-roll with Morris, but keep an eye on Horford this season and next. Otherwise, the fact Michigan is even discussing a possible NCAA berth this late in the season should redeem Beilien for last year.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Michigan State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good! </span>Still Draymond Green. Simply the best per-possession and per-game player in the conference, and a very, very large part of all of MSU's close wins. Kalin Lucas appears to be playing at the best of his career, and Delvon Roe is second only to Sullinger and JaJuan Johnson in the middle.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Three top-ten players, and this is still a mediocre team in the conference. Durrell Summers seems to be the most hurt from Korie Lucious' dismissal, as Lucas' assists seem to go mostly to the bigs, while Lucious found Summers and Appling for open shots. That said, Summers (and Appling) needs to step it up in a serious way if MSU is to have any life in the post-season.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Granted, my system favors reserve big men, but Derrick Nix and Adriean Payne seem to be the best of that bunch. Unfortunately, Green and Roe seem to do best at the 4 and 5-spots, and not the 3 and 4. If Nix can integrate himself into the line-up and get major minutes while not decreasing Roe and Green's effectiveness, MSU may be able to rally. Chris Allen's dismissal and Russell Byrd's injury are also really being felt right now by Sparty fans.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Minnesota</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> For a guy who I never expected to play, Trevor Mbakwe has been truly jaw-droppingly good. Right now, he's playing at the three-spot and still dominating. It bears mentioning that point guards Al Nolen and Devoe Joseph were playing quite efficiently before the injury and apparent losing-of-the-marbles, respectively.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span>Blake Hoffarber is the worst point guard in the conference, but it's obviously not his fault. Really, the lack of depth at this position is a real concern, as the departed transfer Justin Cobbs wasn't great last season, but he was a lot better than the out-of-his-depth Maverick Ahanmisi.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Al Nolen needs to get healthy. Rodney Williams and Blake Hoffarber's efficiencies are suffering as they play out of position. Chip Armelin strikes me as the guy who really needs to start getting more minutes, even though he can't shoot from distance, he really just makes things happen.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Northwestern</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Juice Thompson has been quite the leader this year despite shouldering insane minutes, and guards Alex Marcotullio and JerShon Cobb have been pleasant surprises as well.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Drew Crawford has really faded in conference play, posting per-possession numbers equivalent to the other worst rotation player, Davide Curletti. Shurna has also taken a step back, but it's hard to call his performance disappointing as he struggles through injuries and remains productive.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span>I've long been a Mike Capocci advocate, and so to see him play a crucial part in almost upsetting Ohio State was satisfying. However, I can't figure out why Bill Carmody doesn't give his starting forwards more rest as they invariably seem to break down with the heavy minutes foisted upon them. You can ask Juice Thompson or Craig Moore to play 95% of your possessions, but Shurna and Coble take a lot of abuse in the post, and when valuable per-possession players like Peljusic and Capocci are just riding the pine, I can't figure out why he doesn't spare his key players some punishment. Furthermore, it has become apparent that Carmody ended NU's NCAA hopes when he chased away Kevin Coble, instead of being patient with a talented young man who never had basketball as his life's priority. I realize Northwestern has never had it so good, but they are no threat to ever make the NCAA's as currently led by Carmody. If perpetual NIT snubs are good enough for the NU administration, so be it.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Ohio State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Um, Jared Sullinger. Amazing. However, I should note David Lighty –the one-time afterthought in another amazing recruiting class- has become a really solid multi-position player. Also, Aaron Craft has been shockingly good for a freshman point, but it's easy to rack up assists when there's this much talent surrounding you. We'll see next season if he's more like Bobby Hurley or Greg Paulus.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Thad Matta plays Lighty, Diebler, Buford, Craft, and Sullinger heavy minutes, and Lauderdale and Thomas only in rotation. This may get him into trouble in the postseason if the Buckeyes run into foul trouble or injuries, as only Jordan Sibert gets any minutes on the perimeter.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> DeShaun Thomas is the one guy on the team who really looks like he deserves more minutes than he gets. You could make an argument for Sibert or Smith to get more minutes, but until OSU looks vulnerable (and even post-Wisconsin, they really don't), why would you argue with Matta?<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Penn State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Jeff Brooks. Efficient, productive, and when he was out for a home game with Michigan, Penn State missed him big-time. Jackson and Battle have both been good, and Andrew Jones finally returned to form, somewhat. Tim Frazier looks to be the star of next year's team.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Zero depth here, as the bench is terrible. Billy Oliver, Cameron Woodyard, and Jemaine Marshall are putting up walk-on numbers. Oliver, for example, is about half as efficient the 10th player on last year's squad – (the redshirted) Sasa Borovnjak.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Um, Taran Buie may not have been great in the pre-season, but he was another player at least. If he could convince DeChellis that he'd shaped up and return, it would help this team out a lot. As it stands now, he may not ever come back.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Purdue</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> For all of the wailing that Boiled Sports and Hammer and Rails has done about E'Twuann Moore, he's the clearly the best off-guard in the best conference in the country – performing at a much higher rate than Talor Battle. I think they expect him to be some fantasized version of Michael Jordan or something, but honestly – what more can he do? JaJuan Johnson might be the best center in the league at the end of the season, but he's currently taking a backseat to Sullinger, which, y'know, who isn't? Lewis Jackson has really stepped up his production, as has Ryne Smith. I know Boilers hate to hear this, but with a healthy Hummel, this likely would have been a championship squad.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> The lack of quality depth inside is less dire than I worried it might be, as Carroll and Bade are putting up average per-possession stats. However, they are doing this in less than half of the available minutes at the four-spot, meaning that Kelsey Barlow and DJ Byrd are filling in for the majority of those minutes.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Matt Painter's done a pretty great job, and I don't have anything really to comment on. Maybe Barlow could use a few more minutes and Smith could use a few less, and I'm curious to see how Carroll develops, but this is a good deep team.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Wisconsin</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Jordan Taylor's growth is now on an Evan Turner-like scale, except that Turner was a least a legit starter from the time he stepped on campus. Jon Leuer's got relatively low efficiency for the impact he has on the game, and it's been a while since I've such a tough, yet skilled big man. He reminds me a lot of Alan Henderson. And Keaton Nankivil is really opening eyes with his surprising performances, right now- he's the best B10 power forward not named Green, Brooks, or Mbakwe.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span>Ryan Evans and Rob Wilson are both good athletes, but are putting up truly terrible numbers. The regression is not such a big deal this season, but who's gonna start at forward alongside Bruesewitz next season?<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Nothing obvious here, except I'd like to see Jared Berggren get some more possessions as he's the likely starter for UW next year, as far as I can tell. Bo Ryan is squeezing his top players for their production, and he is getting results.Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-80138078875705738392011-02-06T10:11:00.001-08:002011-02-06T10:18:20.173-08:002011 Ratings- Conference Halfway PointThe full spreadsheet can be <a href="https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AtN4Z5PYfudodGtqWGF2ZUxsVzl2ZWdMSHZIRzBQbUE&hl=en&output=html">found here</a>. The what and why <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2009/01/my-rating-system-and-why-it-is-way-it.html">is here</a>.<br /><br />Quick notes: The Big Ten is definitely better than in recent years. The efficiency ratings are up across the board, and this despite the loss of a *lot* of key players. I did include six players in my ratings that may not play again this season (Nolen, Joseph, Watford, Lucious, Creek, and Hart), but none of them are real outliers who would've affected the data. And quick btw- check out MSU's presence in the ratings- one wonders how they're playing so poorly, until you look at Korie Lucious' numbers and see that he was playing pretty well in the Big Ten game (11.7/.3017). It's little wonder that the Sparties have crashed with only the disappointing Summers and Appling (and walk-ons) to rely on otherwise on the wing.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">The Highlights</span><br />Overall per-game mean: 10.7<br />Overall per-game median: 9.8<br />Overall per-possession mean: .3069<br />Overall per-possession median: .3017<br /><br />Top 10 per-possession<br />1. Draymond Green, MSU (.6523)<br />2. Trevor Mbakwe, Minnesota (.5742)<br />3. Jordan Taylor, Wisconsin (.5415)<br />4. Jeff Brooks, Penn State (.5305)<br />5. Derrick Nix, MSU (.5283)<br />6. Jared Sullinger, OSU (.5171)<br />7. Delvon Roe, MSU (.5141)<br />8. Jereme Richmond, Illinois (.4963)<br />9. Darius Morris, Michigan (.4933)<br />10. Keaton Nankivil, Wisconsin (.4903) <br /><br />Top 10 per-game<br />1. Draymond Green, MSU (33.0)<br />2. Jeff Brooks, Penn State (29.6)<br />3. Trevor Mbakwe, Minnesota (28.7)<br />4. Jared Sullinger, OSU (28.5)<br />5. Jordan Taylor, Wisconsin (28.3)<br />6. JaJuan Johnson, Purdue (27.5)<br />7. Etwuann Moore, Purdue (24.8)<br />8. Darius Morris, Michigan (24.6)<br />9. Kalin Lucas, MSU (23.1)<br />10. Delvon Roe, MSU (22.2)<br /><br />Freshman 15 - First team<br />Jared Sullinger, OSU (28.5/.5171)<br />Jereme Richmond, Illinois (15.9/.4963)<br />Melsahn Basabe, Iowa (20.2/.4879)<br />Aaron Craft, OSU (17.6/.3643)<br />Victor Oladipo, Indiana (12.1/.3807)<br /><br />Second team:<br />Adriean Payne, MSU (3.7/.4156)<br />Deshaun Thomas, OSU (6.2/.3138)<br />Chip Armelin, Minnesota (5.0/.3183)<br />Terone Johnson, Purdue (9.3/.3196)<br />Josh Gasser, Wisconsin (12.1/.3918)<br /><br />Third team:<br />Travis Carroll, Purdue (4.7/.2834)<br />Jordan Morgan, Michigan (8.9/.2516)<br />Will Sheehey, Indiana (5.4/.2816)<br />Tim Hardaway, Jr., Michigan (12.1/.2689)<br />Jershon Cobb, Northwestern (12.9/.2842)<br /><br />[HM: Jon Horford, Michigan (3.7/.2939)]Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-28938646056923788902010-08-18T13:23:00.000-07:002010-08-19T07:26:44.513-07:00Per-Possession Efficiency Breakdown 2010A little bit of breaking down of the individual player rating stats I crunched, and what it all might mean. I'll list my school-by-school notes, and then the top tens.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Illinois</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good! </span>Demetri McCamey played very well despite the position switch and the loss of Meachem and Frazier. He's the best point guard in the conference, and that's saying a lot. Hey, Illini fans- do you still wish you'd gotten Eric Gordon instead of McCamey? <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span> I really think it was pretty outrageous that DJ Richardson got the Freshman of the Year award. His per-possession efficiency was 89th out of 117 players, and it was well below Christian Watford's efficiency rating to boot. Were the only criteria three-point and free-throw shooting? <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Tyler Griffey posted some very efficient numbers in his limited time so far. He'll get more PT next season.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Indiana</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good! </span> Well, there wasn't a lot of that this season. Verdell Jones maintaining his effective performance despite increased usage bears mention here. Otherwise, it's Derek Elston & Bobby Capobianco's surprisingly effective play off the bench that's the biggest positive.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span>Jordan Hulls' had a very low rating that despite his outburst against Northwestern, declined as the season went on. Tom Pritchard wasn't great, but actually bounced back statistically in the second half of the Big Ten season. Also, Devan Dumes had a poor showing in his final season.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span>Capobianco & Elston really need more time on the floor if Watford and Pritchard continue to struggle next season. Mostly, the Hoosiers' hopes pivot on a full recovery by Maurice Creek.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Iowa</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Aaron Fuller had an amazing year, really, and will be missed. Centers Jarryd Cole and Andrew Brommer also showed some efficiency I didn't expect.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Matt Gatens had a bad year, but Cully Payne can't continue to be the answer at point unless he makes some real improvements. Brennan Cougill bounced back from a bad showing in conference play, but he won't be returning for a year.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Um, Cole and Brommer are going to get more minutes, as the interior depth will be even shallower next season for new coach McCaffrey. The numbers don't really favor anyone else, but I think Eric May & Matt Gatens are going to be better next season.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> DeShawn Sims. He's was Michigan's best player and everyone knew it, but he kept up his numbers with a very good efficiency rating. Manny Harris pretty obviously had his eye on the NBA all season, and it resulted in a disappointing regression in 2010.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span>Stu Douglass and Laval Lucas-Perry got plenty of minutes, and but were pretty poor in efficiency. Also, I can't believe that Anthony Wright got about the same amount of time Zack Gibson. It actually makes me start to question if my esteem of coach Beilien is too high. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Matt Vogrich had surprisingly good numbers for a rookie and a shooter. And Darius Morris did a fine job for a freshman point. This could be Michigan's starting backcourt for a while.<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Draymond Green. Simply the best per-possession player in the conference, and a very, very large part of MSU's injury-hobbled run to the Final Four. Raymar Morgan had a great senior year. I have every confidence that he'll make it onto an NBA roster very soon. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> There's not a lot of quality backcourt depth here. I know Korie Lucious had a good run in the tournament, but his conference play was not great. And with Lucas being somewhat fragile, the freshmen wings are really going to have be reliable in their first season.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT? </span> The one name on the roster that has really impressed me efficiency-wise is Delvon Roe. Of course Draymond Green leads the conference and should get more PT, but Roe had a great conference season after an auspicious start. And his ability to hold down the middle was another key to MSU's postseason success. Next season, Delvon Roe may finally be the dominant post player he was projected to be when he first arrived at MSU.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Minnesota</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Damian Johnson did a really great job of being effective without scoring a lot of points, and Ralph Sampson is blossoming at center. I'm not sure he's NBA-worthy just yet, but he's getting there.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span> Actually, the numbers here are all really solid. Only the departed Justin Cobbs was below average. Bryant Allen probably shouldn't get picked on for his garbage time performance, but still, registering zeros ain't good.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Al Nolen needs to get eligible. Rodney Williams also has sterling per-possession stats, and more minutes would remove all doubts about his abilities. He'll get those minutes next season, there's not much depth on the wing otherwise. <br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Northwestern</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> John Shurna had a great year, and if he continues to improve, NU has a great shot at the NCAA's for the first time ever. Luka Mirkovic is shockingly in the thick of it for the Big Ten's best center. Also, Jeremy Nash had a very strong final season after a rough start in conference play.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span> Michael "Juice" Thompson was formerly an also-ran in the Big Ten's best point-guard discussion, but he seems to be fading with more minutes. Also, Alex Marcotullio seems like a natural fit for the starting off-guard spot next season, given his steal and shooting numbers, but his other numbers really detract from his overall efficiency. I'm not sure if he hack it.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> I've been a Mike Capocci fan for a while, so it'd be great to see him get some more minutes. Other than that, though, I think Carmody's going to give the should-have-been-freshman-of-the-year Drew Crawford as many minutes as he can shoulder next season. There are good things to look forward to next season despite the apparent abrupt loss of Kevin Coble. Reserve center-forward David Curletti improved throughout the year and senior Jeff Ryan finally returns after finding a niche as a highly effective reserve. <br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Ohio State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Only one player really fits this description, truly, and it is Evan Turner. However, William Buford also had a nice year, getting a lot of usage and delivering. Buford will be the star next year, unless one of the freshman *cough*Sullinger*cough* supplants him.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Jon Diebler got a ton of minutes while not doing anything other hitting threes, which is valuable, I'll admit, but he really didn't contribute anything else. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> The only returning bench player, Nikola Kecman, saw very few minutes, but has decent enough numbers that I'd still like to see what he could contribute, if given a chance.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Penn State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Talor Battle is, of course, very good, and actually seemed to get a lot more effective as the year wore on. The player that really surprised me, tho, was Jeff Brooks. How was he so efficient that he looks like the top returning small forward next season?<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Andrews Jones and Ott were not great. Post play looms as a possible weakness again next season.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Tim Frazier had a pretty good year for a freshman point guard. He and Jeff Brooks will probably see more minutes next year. Otherwise, Battle and David Jackson will rely on the freshmen to help turn this club around.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Purdue</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Robbie Hummel. He's definitely my pick for 2011 Big 10 Player of the Year. E'Twuann Moore and JaJuan Johnson are also quite good, which is great news for Coach Painter's 2010-2011 year. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span>The freshmen class was disappointing overall. Patrick Bade didn't contribute anything, and DJ Byrd was truly terrible during the conference season. Kelsey Barlow's rating was pretty low, but rebounded to a point where he might be a starter next season. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Lewis Jackson's return really helped the depth of this club, and he'll probably see starter's minutes next year. However, the incoming freshmen are going to have to be relied upon- Hummel, Johnson, and Moore can't do it all for the entire season.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Wisconsin</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good! </span>Jordan Taylor's growth was an integral part of an excellent three-guard lineup. His ability to play defense and point guard will be essential to the Badger's success next season.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned... </span> There wasn't a lot of quality depth here last season, and I'm not sure who replaces Trevon Hughes and Jason Bohannon's contributions on the wings. Ryan Evans and Rob Wilson are both decent players, but neither are shooters, which might gum up the flex offense.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Mike Bruesewitz is the obvious choice to get some more minutes, except that they would come at the expense of Jon Leuer and Keaton Nankivil, who are both more effective than he is. I would posit that it is Leuer's health, really, and the corresponding minutes that he's able to play, that is the key to next season's success. <br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">All Big Ten Players</span><br />F- Green, Draymond (40.7) 23.7 / .5821<br />F- Hummel, Robbie (51.9) 27.3 / .5262<br />C- Leuer, Jon (38.2) 18.2 / .4765<br />PG- McCamey, Demetri (58.2) 26.2 /.4502<br />SG- Turner, Evan (56.5) 34.9 / .5484<br /><br />PF- Shurna, John (57.9) 25.1 / .4335<br />SF- Morgan, Raymar (43.9) 19.3 / .4385<br />C- Mirkovic, Luka (42.5) 19.6 / .4596<br />SG- Buford, William (55.6) 23.2 / .4169<br />PG- Battle, Talor (58.2) 24.1 / .4145<br /><br />PF-Johnson, Damian (40.5) 17.3 / .4268<br />SF- Harris, Manny (53.5) 21.3 / .3974<br />C-Sampson, Ralph (41.9) 18.9 / .4521<br />SG- Bohannon, Jason (54.4) 19.0 / .3496<br />PG- Hughes, Trevon (47.7) 19.8 / .4161<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Freshmen Fifteen</span><br />PF- Watford, Christian (48.1) 11.1 / .2317<br />SF- Williams, Rodney (16.7) 5.9 / .3551<br />C- Griffey, Tyler (13.1) 4.8 / .3676<br />SG- Crawford, Drew (44.3) 13.8 / .3109<br />PG- Frazier, Tim (23.6) 6.3 / .2673<br /><br />PF- Elston, Derek (21.9) 7.3 / .3301<br />SF- Evans, Ryan (15.9) 5.1 / .3166<br />C- Capobianco, Bobby (21.7) 6.9 / .3162<br />SG- Vogrich, Matt (6.8) 1.9 / .2886<br />PG- Morris, Darius (38.5) 10.3 / .2667<br /><br />PF- Cougill, Brennan (21.5) 4.4 / .2184<br />SF- May, Eric (51.9) 12.4 / .2386<br />C- Nix, Derrick (11.1) 3.5 / .3133<br />SG- Barlow, Kelsey (24.2) 6.8 / .2815<br />PG- Cobbs, Justin (16.6) 4.4 / .2661<br /><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Actual FOY- Richardson, DJ (50.8) 10.5 / .2071</span>Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-2522938788578883312010-08-18T08:45:00.000-07:002010-08-18T12:01:39.945-07:00Final efficiency Stats for 2010The final version of my per-possession rating system is done (regular season conference games only). The usual mea culpas are in order for the lateness. However, looking back over the numbers from the first four or so conference games, my very early version turned out to be a pretty decent predictor of the final results. <br />As usual, the wherefores and the whys can be <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2009/01/my-rating-system-and-why-it-is-way-it.html">found here</a>. The numbers are listed in this order:<br /><br />Last Name, First Name (individual possessions per game) effective production per game / effective production per possession<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Illinois (10-8)</span><br />McCamey, Demetri (58.2) 26.2 /.4502<br />Tisdale, Mike (50.0) 19.3 / .3859<br />Davis, Mike (49.6) 14.6 / .2941<br />Richardson, DJ (50.8) 10.5 / .2071<br />Paul, Brandon (24.8) 5.9 / .2386<br />Cole, Bill (40.3) 12.3 / .3006<br />Jordan, Jeff (18.9) 3.9 / .2077<br />Keller, Dominique (14.3) 3.0 / .2111<br />Griffey, Tyler (13.1) 4.8 / .3676<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Indiana (4-14)</span><br />Jones, Verdell (54.8) 17.6 / .3219<br />Rivers, Jeremiah (54.7) 16.0 / .2923<br />Watford, Christian (48.1) 11.1 / .2317<br />Hulls, Jordan (47.6) 7.9 / .1668<br />Pritchard, Tom (32.8) 7.2 / .2201<br />Dumes, Devan (30.6) 6.2 / .2037<br />Elston, Derek (21.9) 7.3 / .3301<br />Capobianco, Bobby (21.7) 6.9 / .3162<br />Moore, Daniel (13.8) 2.8 /.2023<br />Muniru, Bawa (4.3) 0.9 /.2199<br />Jobe, Tijan (4.8) 0.3 / .0619<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Iowa (4-14)</span><br />Fuller, Aaron (46.0) 17.2 / .3851<br />Gatens, Matt (55.6) 12.1 / .2167<br />Payne, Cully (50.6) 8.4 / .1667<br />Cole, Jarryd (36.2) 12.9 / .3572<br />May, Eric (51.9) 12.4 / .2386<br />Lickliter, John (13.4) 2.1 / .1575<br />Bawinkel, Devan (21.5) 3.9 / .1731<br />Brommer, Andrew (12.6) 4.1 / .3248<br />Cougill, Brennan (21.5) 4.4 / .2184<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan (7-11)</span><br />Harris, Manny (53.5) 21.3 / .3974<br />Sims, DeShawn (49.5) 22.9 / .4642<br />Novak, Zach (50.6) 12.9 / .2539<br />Douglass, Stu (50.1) 9.5 / .1892<br />Laval-Perry, Lucas (28.7) 6.3 / .2184<br />Morris, Darius (38.5) 10.3 / .2667<br />Vogrich, Matt (6.8) 1.9 / .2886<br />Gibson, Zack (12.6) 5.7 / .4519<br />Wright, Anthony (12.4) 0.9 / .0716<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan State (14-4)</span><br />Green, Draymond (40.7) 23.7 / .5821<br />Morgan, Raymar (43.9) 19.3 / .4385<br />Lucas, Kalin (50.6) 16.7 / .3299<br />Allen, Chris (45.5) 11.9 / .2623<br />Roe, Delvon (29.7) 11.6 / .3898<br />Summers, Durrell (42.3) 12.9 / .3061<br />Nix, Derrick (11.1) 3.5 / .3133<br />Lucious, Korie (34.2) 7.9 / .2301<br />Sherman, Garrick (10.2) 1.7 / .1666<br />Thornton, Austin (7.4) 0.9 / .1214<br />Dahlmann, Isaiah (4.4) 1.2 / .2708<br />Kebler, Mike (10.6) 0.9 / .0869<br />Herzog, Tom (3.4) 1.0 / .2949<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Minnesota (9-9)</span><br />Johnson, Damian (40.5) 17.3 / .4268<br />Nolen, Al (41.3) 14.1 / .3407<br />Sampson, Ralph (41.9) 18.9 / .4521<br />Hoffarber, Blake (46.8) 15.4 / .3299<br />Westbrook, Lawrence (43.3) 13.6 / .3149<br />Carter, Paul (22.7) 7.4 / .3283<br />Williams, Rodney (16.7) 5.9 / .3551<br />Iverson, Colton (24.2) 7.1 / .2925<br />Joseph, Devoe (40.6) 13.1 / .3232<br />Bostick, Devron (13.2) 4.6 / .3474<br />Cobbs, Justin (16.6) 4.4 / .2661<br />Allen, Bryant (4.4) 0 / 0<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Northwestern (7-11)</span><br />Shurna, John (57.9) 25.1 / .4335<br />Mirkovic, Luka (42.5) 19.6 / .4596<br />Thompson, Michael (58.1) 17.3 / .2983<br />Crawford, Drew (44.3) 13.8 / .3109<br />Nash, Jeremy (53.9) 17.9 / .3329<br />Marcotullio, Alex (18.6) 3.5 /.1867<br />Rowley, Kyle (11.3) 2.9 / .2636<br />Curletti, Davide (10.5) 3.1 / .2932<br />Peljusic, Ivan (7.1) 1.9 / .2656<br />Capocci, Mike (11.7) 4.0 / .3447<br />Fruendt, Nick (4.8) 1.3 / .2648<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Ohio State (14-4)</span><br />Turner, Evan (56.5) 34.9 / .5484<br />Buford, William (55.6) 23.2 / .4169<br />Lighty, David (55.6) 14.1 / .3027<br />Diebler, Jon (60.3) 12.5 / .2073<br />Lauderdale, Dallas (42.0) 13.4 / .3193<br />Hill, PJ (15.2) 4.6 / .3008<br />Simmons, Jeremie (16.8) 1.8 / .1053<br />Madsen, Kyle (19.9) 3.4 / .1698<br />Sarikopoulis, Zizis (3.8) 0.5 / .1301<br />Kecman, Nikola (3.8) 1.1 / .2827<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Penn State (3-15)</span><br />Battle, Talor (58.2) 24.1 / .4145<br />Jackson, David (49.4) 15.2 / .3072<br />Babb, Chris (51.2) 14.9 / .2901<br />Brooks, Jeff (34.4) 12.4 /.3601<br />Jones, Andrew (38.2) 7.6 /.1992<br />Edwards, Bill (22.9) 4.7 / .2059<br />Frazier, Tim (23.6) 6.3 / .2673<br />Woodyard, Cameron (11.2) 1.9 / .1716<br />Ott, Andrew (17.0) 4.0 / .2508<br />Highberger, Adam (6.1) 0 / 0<br />Borovnjak, Sasa (8.5) 1.2 / .1422<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Purdue (14-4)</span><br />Hummel, Robbie (51.9) 27.3 / .5262<br />Moore, E'Twuann (52.9) 20.6 / .3891<br />Johnson, JaJuan (54.9) 20.6 / .3742<br />Kramer, Chris (47.8) 13.6 / .2846<br />Grant, Keaton (36.4) 10.2 / .2805<br />Barlow, Kelsey (24.2) 6.8 / .2815<br />Smith, Ryne (13.9) 0.2 / .0615<br />Wohlford, Mark (6.1) 1.4 / .2221<br />Byrd, DJ (7.3) 0 / 0<br />Bade, Patrick (7.6) 1.3 / .1708<br />Hart, John (21.7) 4.5 / .2059<br />Jackson, Lewis (28.7) 9.8 / .3426<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Wisconsin (13-5)</span><br />Bohannon, Jason (54.4) 19.0 / .3496<br />Hughes, Trevon (47.7) 19.8 / .4161<br />Taylor, Jordan (46.2) 18.6 / .4026<br />Leuer, Jon (38.2) 18.2 / .4765<br />Nankivil, Keaton (39.5) 15.9 / .4045<br />Jarmusz, Tim (32.3) 5.8 / .1795<br />Evans, Ryan (15.9) 5.1 / .3166<br />Wilson, Rob (20.3) 5.4 / .2687<br />Bruesewitz, Mike (10.3) 3.3 / .3256<br />Berggren, Jared (3.1) 0.6 / .1918<br /><br />Overall-<br />Mean HPPS<br />.2816<br />Median HPPS<br />.2886<br />Mean HPPG<br />9.65<br />Median HPPG<br />7.4Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-37315618680977738142010-01-22T12:10:00.000-08:002010-01-22T14:10:30.914-08:00School notes & Top TensA little bit of breaking down of the individual player rating stats I crunched, and what it all might mean. I'll list my school-by-school notes, and then the top tens.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Illinois</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Demetri McCamey is playing very well despite a position switch, and seemingly out of nowhere Bill Cole is contributing good minutes.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> The freshmen wings have pretty low per-possession ratings, but that's pretty standard. What worries me is Dominique Keller's sudden decline in effectiveness and in minutes.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Tyler Griffey is posting some very efficient numbers in his limited PT so far. Look to hear his name more and more.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Indiana</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Verdell Jones maintaining his effective performance despite increased usage bears mention here. Otherwise, it's Bobby Capobianco's surprisingly effective play off the bench that's the biggest positive.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Despite Jordan Hulls' low rating, I'm not concerned about him. He's effectively replacing Matt Roth's contributions, who would be playing those minutes instead of Creek should they not both be injured. No, I'm concerned about Tom Pritchard, who has spiralled ever lower since the beginning of Big Ten play a year ago. He looks good out there sometimes, just not statistically.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Really, Capobianco & Derek Elston, even with their just average performances, are better per-possession than Pritchard & Watford. <br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Iowa</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Aaron Fuller is off to a hot start, certainly, but Andrew Brommer is showing a rare streak of effectiveness heretofore unseen.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Matt Gatens appears to be getting overwhelmed. I don't fault him, But Jarryd Cole, Eric May, and Cully Payne aren't helping anything. And Brennan Cougill has taken a real nosedive, too.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Um, besides Brommer and Fuller, John Lickliter (Lil' Lick) and Devan Bawinkel have played okay so far, which better than the rest of the team.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Darius Morris. I watched him in two of these games, and I was not impressed. But he's putting up the numbers.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Stu Douglass is playing a lot of minutes, and despite a nice game at Indiana, has not been playing well.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Morris for Douglass. Prtetty straightforward. Everyone else is playing as expected, but frehsman shooter Matt Vogrich and (of course) Zack Gibson deserve a few more possessions each game, surely.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Draymond Green. I've been suggesting for a while that Green should get more minutes, but I didn't foresee Dancing Bear becoming the cream of the crop so fast. Also, Raymar Morgan is playing pretty well, and deserves some recognition for it.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Kalin Lucas has turned in a merely average start, but hey, he had a great pre-season and MSU is still 5-0. The real concern here is Delvon Roe has regressed at a time when he should be moving forward.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> There's not much to go onat this point, but it keeps looking to me like Tom Herzog adds more than Derrick Nix or Garrick Sherman. MSU watchers- does this correlate with what you've seen?<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Minnesota</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Damian Johnson is putting together another great year, but what really flipped me was how well Devron Bostick is doing right out of the gate. This kid can play, and I find it hard to believe Tubby can only find 17 possessions a game for Bostick when this team is struggling.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> The really poor performance here is being turned in by reserve center Colton Iverson, who was looking last season like he might challenge Ralph Sampson for the starting spot. But another, perhaps bigger, concern is that Lawrence Westbrook hasn't been playing very well, and has regressed slightly from last season.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Bostick, Sampson, and Paul Carter all need to get more minutes, and Tubby needs some more quality wins if the Gophers are going to make into the NCAAs again.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Northwestern</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Luka Mirkovic has quietly put together a stellar performance, currently ranking as the conference's most efficiently productive center. I thought he'd be good, but after a mediocre pre-season, he's taken off.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Jeremy Nash has really crash-landed, and outside of reserve Davide Curletti's pure incompetence, has the lowest rating on the team.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Mmm, not too much to do here. If Nash continues to struggle, than maybe Carmody should try to develop frosh Alex Marcotullio a little more.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Ohio State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> William Buford probably fits this description, getting a lot of usage and delivering. Evan Turner's been better than expected at this point (on the court and playing well), but not at the amazing level he was playing at before he got hurt.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Outside of those two, and PJ Hill, there's very few players with any kind of efficiency on this team. I also expected more of Zisis Sarikoupolis, who has done literally nothing with his minutes so far.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Uh, PJ Hill could see a few more minutes, and while his sample size is very small, Nikola Kecman seems like he could contribute more, if given a chance.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Penn State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Tim Frazier actually has been pretty decent for a freshman point guard, but overall, I'm pretty surprised how good the ratings are for most of the players on this awful team. How are they playing decently and yet still are 0-6?<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Well, one answer is the interior play has been dreadful. Noone down low can manufacture any offense (altho' Ott might be showing signs of life), and freshman Bill Edwards has been getting a fair amount of usage while not being very good. But the real standout for poor achievement has been Andrew Jones. His NIT championship-game performance seems years away now, as he is probably the worst starting center in the conference.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Ott and Frazier certainly could use a few more minutes, and it would look like Cameron Woodyard should be getting some minutes on the wing, too, as long as his shooting is not still ice-cold.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Purdue</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Robbie Hummel. Dang, this kid is good. E'Twuann Moore is also looking more like the player he was as a freshman rather than mediocre version that showed up last season.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> The freshmen have been pretty awful, as Byrd & Bade aren't contributing anything, and Barlow's rating is pretty low. But honestly I'm even more concerned about JaJuan Johnson's drop from the Big Ten's best center to merely middle-of-the-pack. Can he and Hummel not both be excellent in the same season?<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Squeeze those starters until they pop, coach Painter- you ain't got noone else. (Although Painter did break out reserve guard John Hart against Illinois, so maybe he'll have some sort of bench after all)<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Wisconsin</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Jaw-droppingly good!</span> Jason Bohannon, for a pure shooter, is turning a great performance so far. Really commendable. Also, Jordan Taylor, who didn't show much last season, is part of a three-guard lineup that is prospering.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I'm concerned...</span> Tim Jarmusz is really not stepping up, at a time when his outside shooting and height could be a real asset. Also, Keaton Nankivil's performance seems to be dipping at a time when the Badgers need him the most.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">I can haz more PT?</span> Mike Bruesewitz, in just 9 possessions a game, is posting the 12th-best average in the conference. I'd say to find some minutes for this guy, especially if Leuer isn't coming back soon. But Bo knows best, I suppose.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten Players</span><br />F- Green, Draymond (43.1) 28.3 / .6576<br />F- Hummel, Robbie (58.4) 32.3 / .5529<br />C- Mirkovic, Luka (42.4) 22.9 / .5396<br />PG- McCamey, Demetri (56.8) 28.3 /.4981<br />SG- Harris, Manny (55.7) 25.7 / .4617<br /><br />PF- Johnson, Damian (42.9) 22.5 /.5235<br />SF- Morgan, Raymar (42.4) 20.2 / .4767<br />C- Sims, DeShawn (56.9) 26.7 / .4691<br />SG- Bohannon, Jason (55.5) 20.6 / .3711<br />PG- Turner, Evan (49.8) 23.1 / .4648 <br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Freshmen Fifteen</span><br />PF- Watford, Christian (50.2) 12.5 / .2691<br />SF- Crawford, Drew (48.3) 17.5 / .3622<br />C- Capobianco, Bobby (20.2) 5.9 / .2921<br />SG- Richardson, DJ (51.4) 11.5 / .2239<br />PG- Morris, Darius (36.2) 15.8 / .4369<br /><br />F- Bruesewitz, Mike (9.1) 4.1 / .4529<br />F- Evans, Ryan (20.4) 6.0 / .2935<br />C- Griffey, Tyler (11.5) 5.0 / .4323<br />G- Frazier, Tim (27.7) 8.5 / .3069<br />PG- Lickliter, John (20.7) 6.0 / .2902<br /><br />PF- Elston, Derek (19.6) 5.5 / .2813<br />SF- Williams, Rodney (15.9) 3.6 / .2868<br />C- Nix, Derrick (14.5) 3.2 / .2214<br />SG- Vogrich, Matt (7.5) 3.3 / .4372<br />PG- Cobb, Justin (21.8) 5.7 / .2604Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-81997049127584151312010-01-21T17:38:00.000-08:002010-01-21T17:40:06.702-08:00Early Per-Possession Player RatingsA very early version of my per-possession rating system is out. This is for the conference games only, and even though its just a third of the way through the conference season, I thought it'd be fun to crunch some numbers. As usual, the where and the why can be <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2009/01/my-rating-system-and-why-it-is-way-it.html">found here</a>. The numbers are listed in this order:<br /><br />Last Name, First Name (individual possessions per game) effective production per game / effective production per possession<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Illinois (4-1)</span><br />McCamey, Demetri (56.8) 28.3 /.4981<br />Tisdale, Mike (51.4) 22.5 / .4381<br />Davis, Mike (49.4) 13.6 / .3439<br />Richardson, DJ (51.4) 11.5 / .2239<br />Paul, Brandon (21.8) 4.1 / .1878<br />Cole, Bill (38.8) 11.2 / .2884<br />Jordan, Jeff (28.2) 6.7 / .2372<br />Keller, Dominique (18.9) 4.2 / .2218<br />Griffey, Tyler (11.5) 5.0 / .4323<br />Semrau, Richard (7.3) 2.5 / .3419<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Indiana (2-3)</span><br />Jones, Verdell (56.1) 19.1 / .3408<br />Rivers, Jeremiah (54.7) 16.0 / .2923<br />Watford, Christian (50.2) 12.5 / .2691<br />Hulls, Jordan (53.1) 10.2 / .1921<br />Pritchard, Tom (35.8) 4.4 / .1228<br />Dumes, Devan (28.7) 7.2 / .2511<br />Elston, Derek (19.6) 5.5 / .2813<br />Capobianco, Bobby (20.2) 5.9 / .2921<br />Moore, Daniel (12.4) 3.0 /.2423<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Iowa (1-4)</span><br />Fuller, Aaron (46.8) 17.4 / .3715<br />Gatens, Matt (58.1) 10.4 / .1789<br />Payne, Cully (48.1) 5.4 / .1122<br />Cole, Jarryd (36.5) 7.5 / .2055<br />May, Eric (58.1) 10.7 / .2012<br />Lickliter, John (20.7) 6.0 / .2902<br />Bawinkel, Devan (21.9) 6.7 / .3051<br />Brommer, Andrew (16.6) 7.3 / .4379<br />Cougill, Brennan (18.4) 1.2 / .0978<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan (3-2)</span><br />Harris, Manny (55.7) 25.7 / .4617<br />Sims, DeShawn (56.9) 26.7 / .4691<br />Novak, Zach (54.1) 13.4 / .2477<br />Douglass, Stu (50.9) 10.1 / .1982<br />Laval-Perry, Lucas (37.4) 9.4 / .2511<br />Morris, Darius (36.2) 15.8 / .4369<br />Vogrich, Matt (7.5) 3.3 / .4372<br />Gibson, Zack (6.3) 2.8 / .4452<br />Wright, Anthony (11.4) 0 / 0<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan State (5-0)</span><br />Green, Draymond (43.1) 28.3 / .6576<br />Morgan, Raymar (42.4) 20.2 / .4767<br />Lucas, Kalin (52.9) 14.9 / .2817<br />Allen, Chris (45.9) 14.6 / .3175<br />Roe, Delvon (33.5) 8.4 / .2509<br />Summers, Durrell (40.7) 11.5 / .2823<br />Nix, Derrick (14.5) 3.2 / .2214<br />Lucious, Korie (34.8) 10.6 / .3044<br />Sherman, Gerrick (7.9) 1.0 / .1268<br />Thornton, Austin (7.4) 0 /0<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Minnesota (3-3)</span><br />Johnson, Damian (42.9) 22.5 /.5235<br />Nolen, Al (44.4) 16.7 / .3551<br />Sampson, Ralph (35.6) 17.0 / .4781<br />Hoffarber, Blake (47.1) 16.5 / .3502<br />Westbrook, Lawrence (44.1) 11.7 / .2647<br />Carter, Paul (23.4) 8.8 / .3772<br />Williams, Rodney (15.9) 3.6 / .2868<br />Iverson, Colton (28.7) 5.5 / .1919<br />Joseph, Devoe (28.1) 9.0 / .3321<br />Bostick, Devron (16.8) 9.4 / .5589<br />Cobb, Justin (21.8) 5.7 / .2604<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Northwestern (2-3)</span><br />Shurna, John (61.1) 23.5 / .3851<br />Mirkovic, Luka (42.4) 22.9 / .5396<br />Thompson, Michael (62.6) 18.3 / .2925<br />Crawford, Drew (48.3) 17.5 / .3622<br />Nash, Jeremy (55.1) 10.3 / .1868<br />Marcotullio, Alex (24.5) 4.8 /.1962<br />Rowley, Kyle (15.8) 3.4 / .2152<br />Curletti, Davide (7.5) 0 / 0<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Ohio State (3-3)</span><br />Turner, Evan (49.8) 23.1 / .4648<br />Buford, William (58.9) 20.8 / .3541<br />Lighty, David (55.6) 14.1 / .2546<br />Diebler, Jon (58.9) 13.0 / .2209<br />Lauderdale, Dallas (41.7) 8.6 / .2057<br />Hill, PJ (25.1) 8.7 / .3479<br />Simmons, Jeremie (21.1) 3.1 / .1459<br />Madsen, Kyle (19.8) 2.1 / .1052<br />Sarikopoulis, Zizis (7.2) 0 / 0<br />Kecman, Nikola (5.4) 1.6 / .3115<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Penn State (0-5)</span><br />Battle, Talor (58.1) 19.9 / .3408<br />Jackson, David (46.4) 13.5 / .2912<br />Babb, Chris (44.5) 12.7 / .2851<br />Brooks, Jeff (33.4) 10.1 /.3023<br />Jones, Andrew (34.9) 3.9 /.1117<br />Edwards, Bill (25.9) 5.6 / .2163<br />Frazier, Tim (27.7) 8.5 / .3069<br />Woodyard, Cameron (16.1) 5.5 / .3426<br />Ott, Andrew (18.9) 5.0 / .2637<br />Highberger, Adam (6.0) 0 / 0<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Purdue (2-3)</span><br />Hummel, Robbie (58.4) 32.3 / .5529<br />Moore, E'Twuann (55.4) 22.6 / .4076<br />Johnson, JaJuan (50.2) 17.1 / .3409<br />Kramer, Chris (48.2) 13.9 / .2885<br />Grant, Keaton (36.3) 7.6 / .2094<br />Barlow, Kelsey (24.8) 4.5 / .1818<br />Smith, Ryne (27.7) 2.0 / .0722<br />Wohlford, Mark (8.3) 1.9 / .2273<br />Byrd, DJ (12.9) 0 / 0<br />Bade, Patrick (9.6) 1.6 / .1672<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Wisconsin (4-2)</span><br />Bohannon, Jason (55.5) 20.6 / .3711<br />Hughes, Trevon (49.6) 18.1 / .3643<br />Taylor, Jordan (43.6) 15.5 / .3559<br />Leuer, Jon (38.7) 12.5 / .3231<br />Nankivil, Keaton (38.8) 9.6 / .2468<br />Jarmusz, Tim (39.9) 6.1 / .1524<br />Evans, Ryan (20.4) 6.0 / .2935<br />Wilson, Rob (13.9) 3.9 / .2824<br />Bruesewitz, Mike (9.1) 4.1 / .4529<br /><br />Overall-<br />Mean HPPS<br />.2846<br />Median HPPS<br />.2868<br />Mean HPPG<br />10.4<br />Median HPPG<br />9.0Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-57166938794101552562009-12-22T09:59:00.000-08:002009-12-22T10:38:25.553-08:00Big Ten '09-'10 Non-Conference Efficiency ReportQuick update on how the Big Ten players are faring in terms of per-game and per-possession efficiency. The what and why can be <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2009/01/my-rating-system-and-why-it-is-way-it.html">found here.</a> Frankly, it's a good year overall for the conference. <br />All the numbers should be taken with a grain of salt -or rather, a shaker- there's no strength of schedule consideration here. The in-conference efficiency numbers are always much more reliable. However, there's some interesting stuff here. The overall pre-conference mean and median per-possession averages are the highest they've been in the three years I've been tracking them, and Evan Turner & Manny Harris are turning in off-the-charts amazing performances. Mike Conley .5859 (per-possession)/48.1 (possessions per game)/28.1 (effective production per game) was the previous record-holder for pre-conference performance, and Harris & Turner have him beat by a mile. And the insane thing is that Turner is at another level entirely above Harris, at least before he got hurt. Wow.<br /><br />The full report <a href="http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tzB-rrpbjz5qz-YWMC3tGDA&output=html">is here</a>, but here's the top tens.<br /><br />Top Ten Per-Possession Performers<br />1. Evan Turner, OSU, .7219/54.6/39.4<br />2. Manny Harris, Mich., .6414/57.3/36.5<br />3. Draymond Green, MSU, .5727/43.1/24.7<br />4. Jon Leuer, Wis., .5576/43.8/24.4<br />5. Damian Johnson, Minn., .5314/46.1/24.5<br /><br />6. Zack Gibson, Mich., .5236/19.7/10.3<br />7. Johnson, JaJuan, Pur., .5087/44.1/22.4<br />8. Delvon Roe, MSU, .5059/39.2/19.9<br />9. Mike Tisdale, UIUC, .5038/40.9/20.6<br />10. Devron Bostick, Minn., .4985/12.7/6.3<br /><br />Top 10 Per-Game<br />1. Evan Turner<br />2. Manny Harris<br />3. Draymond Green<br />4. Damian Johnson<br />5. Jon Leuer<br /><br />6. Robbie Hummel, Pur., .4843/48.6/23.5<br />7. Maurice Creek, Ind., .4702/48.4/22.7<br />8. Jeremy Nash, NU, .4038/56.2/22.7<br />9. JaJuan Johnson<br />10. Kalin Lucas, MSU, ..4296/52.1/22.4<br /> <br />Top 10 freshmen<br />1. Tyler Griffey, UIUC, .4925/15.2/7.5<br />2. Derrick Nix, MSU, .4726/15/7.1<br />3. Maurice Creek, Ind., .4702/48.4/22.7<br />4. Drew Crawford, NU, .4614/36.7/16.9<br />5. Alex Marcotullio, NU, .4561/25.4/11.6<br /><br />6. Rodney Williams, Minn., .4493/25.1/11.3<br />7. Derek Elston, Ind., .3937/31.6/12.4<br />8. Brennan Cougill, Iowa, .3628/32.4/11.8<br />9. Christian Watford, Ind., .3474/43/14.9<br />10. Kelsey Barlow, Pur., .3447/28/9.6<br /><br />Overall-<br />Mean HPPS<br />.3474<br />Median HPPS<br />.3294<br />Mean HPPG<br />11.3<br />Median HPPG<br />11.3Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-55343043620431189492009-11-10T09:09:00.000-08:002009-11-10T09:10:38.693-08:00Exhibition compilation for IU playersStarters:<br /><br />Watford: 8/18, 16/17ft, 8/15rb, 2a/1to, 3s, 41min, 32pts. (+43.5/21.8hppg)<br /><br />Creek: 6/11 (2/7), 7/8ft, 3/10rb, 3a/5to, 1b, 3s, 40min, 21pts (+44/22hppg)<br /><br />Pritchard: 6/12, 4/10ft, 6/13rb, 2a/3to, 2b, 4s, 42min, 16pts (+37/18.5hppg)<br /><br />Jones: 8/16, 9/12ft, 0/4rb, 11a/10to, 2b, 3s, 54min, 25pts (+37/18.5hppg)<br /><br />Rivers: 12/20, 3/4ft, 0/7rb, 8a/3to, 2b, 2s, 46min, 27pts (+47.5/23.8hppg)<br /><br />Bench:<br /><br />Elston: 8/13, 2/2ft, 3/15rb, 1a/3to, 1b, 1s, 33min, 18pts (+31.5/15.8hppg)<br /><br />Roth: 5/9 (3/6), 1/2rb, 21min, 13pts (+12/6hppg)<br /><br />Capobianco: 1/6 (0/1), 2/2ft, 3/11rb, 1a/2to, 1s, 22min, 4pts (+13.5/6.8hppg)<br /><br />Hulls: 6/8 (3/4), 6/6ft, 1/3rb, 4a/5to, 3s, 38min, 21pts (+29/14.5hppg)<br /><br />Jobe: 0/1, 2/4rb, 1to, 1b, 13min, 0 pts (+5/2.5hppg)<br /><br />Moore: 1/3 (1/2), 0/2ft, 0/1rb, 2a/1to, 2s, 12min, 3pts (+8/4hhpg)<br /><br /><br />? (1 game)<br /><br />Dumes: 0/2 (0/2), 1/2ft, 1/1rb, 2a, 9min, 1pt (+5.5)<br /><br />Muniru: 2/3, 3/4ft, 1/2rb, 1to, 3b, 8min, 7pts (+13.5)<br /><br />Walk-ons:<br /><br />Gambles: 1/3, 1/4ft, 0/1rb, 3min, 3pts (+0.5)<br /><br />Finkelmeier: 0/2ft, 1s, 5min, 0 pts (0)<br /><br />Barnett: 0/1, 3min, 0 pts (-1)Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-52407670336408421642009-06-03T12:45:00.000-07:002009-06-03T12:48:01.266-07:00Final Report 2009: Big Ten efficiency ratingsIt's time take a look back at the season that was, and how individual players fared statistically in their efficient production during the Big Ten 2009 conference season.<br /><br /><a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2009/01/my-rating-system-and-why-it-is-way-it.html">What is this? And for the love of Pete, why?</a><br /><br />The full report can be <a href="http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=r2cwb-b9VxmAVqaqqwKMT5Q&output=html">found here</a>:<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten Per-Game Producers</span><br />Evan Turner (Ohio State) 25.1<br />JaJuan Johnson (Purdue) 22.3<br />Joe Krabbenhoft (Wisconsin) 21.4<br />Manny Harris (Michigan) 21.3<br />Talor Battle (Penn State) 20.9<br />Goran Suton (Michigan State) 20.8<br />DeShawn Sims (Michigan) 19.8<br />Mike Davis (Illinois) 19.8<br />Kevin Coble (Northwestern) 19.7<br />Chester Frazier (Illinois) 19.1<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten Per-Possession Producers</span><br />Mike Capocci (Northwestern) .5051<br />Paul Carter (Minnesota) .4878<br />Goran Suton (Michigan State) .4804<br />Joe Krabbenhoft (Wisconsin) .4796<br />JaJuan Johnson (Purdue) .4691<br />Delvon Roe (Michigan State) .4691<br />BJ Mullens (Ohio State) .4532<br />Evan Turner (Ohio State) .4361<br />Manny Harris (Michigan) .4288<br />DeShawn Sims (Michigan) .4206<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">The Freshmen 15</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">1st team:</span><br />BJ Mullens (Ohio State) 15.4/.4532<br />Delvon Roe (Michigan State) 14.0/.4649<br />Matt Gatens (Iowa) 15.2/.2978<br />William Buford (Ohio State) 14.9/.2984<br />Verdell Jones (Indiana) 15.9/.3153<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">2nd team:</span><br />Luka Mirkovic (Northwestern) 12.8/.4115<br />Draymond Green (Michigan State) 6.2/.4066<br />Lewis Jackson (Purdue) 12.1/.2971<br />John Shurna (Northwestern) 7.6/.2995<br />Laval Lucas-Perry (Michigan) 7.8/.2546<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">3rd team:</span><br />Ralph Sampson (Minnesota) 12.4/.3602<br />Zack Novak (Michigan) 11.5/.2289<br />Tom Pritchard (Indiana) 10.8/.2389<br />Colton Iverson (Minnesota) 8.0/2977<br />Chris Babb (Penn State) 4.6/.2729<br /><br />And if you made it this far, just check the <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2009/06/2009-individual-school-by-school-notes.html">previous entry</a> for the school-by-school rundowns.Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-24638631645908300022009-06-03T12:35:00.000-07:002009-06-03T12:43:48.187-07:002009 individual school-by-school notes:<span style="font-weight:bold;">Illinois</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s)</span>: The Illini did pretty good in the individual per-game production, placing 3 in the top 11 (McCamey, Frazier, & Davis), but were less solid on a per-possession basis, with only Mike Davis coming in at #11 overall. The heavy use Weber puts on his players dropped the per-possession stats, but this was a solid group, in terms of efficient production.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s)</span>: Alex Legion gets this one in a walk. There were minutes available on the wing, and per-possession Legion was highly ineffective (.1524), ranking 109th out of 118. Jeff Jordan wasn't great either (.2385) but you can't hold a walk-on's feet to the fire.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in!</span> Off the bench, it seemed like Calvin Brock (.3462) should've gotten more time at the wing, especially considering how many minutes Weber had his starters playing.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes</span>: Dominique Keller might get more minutes, but of the returnees really it's Mike Tisdale (.3481) that should be playing more. Demetri McCamey had himself a fine year on the wing, but next year might not be as kind to his stats as he'll be both point guard and the go-to guy. As Dee Brown will tell him, that can be tough on you.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Indiana</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s)</span>: Exactly two IU players were above-average in this terrible season. Former walk-on Kyle Taber (.3092) and the extremely late pick-up freshman Verdell Jones (.3153) both did well per-possesion, but that was pretty much it. On the whole, this was an extremely inefficient team, and it showed up in the win-loss results.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s)</span>: Scoring guard: when Dumes wasn't getting hurt or suspended for thowing elbows, he could play efficiently due his stellar three-point shooting. But his inefficiency in pre-conference play suggests that IU fans shouldn't expect a much better version of him to show up next season. Matt Roth's efficiency is probably artificially low (.1804) due to the team's need for him to jack tough threes at the end of games, but really, he did little else besides the occasional but surprising blocked shot. Reserve center Tijan Jobe, despite his height and muscle, was likely the worst player in the conference this season (.0594).<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in!</span> Um, nothing really jumps out here. Taber and Jones got as many minutes as they could handle, and noone else really deserved any more than they got. I would've liked to see Nick Williams featured a little more in the offense, but he's gone now, so it's all moot anyway.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes</span>: Crean did what he needed, bring in a top-flight class to start the rebuilding right away. Despite his low conference rating (.2389) Tom Pritchard is actually a pretty decent piece for the future (non-conference he had a .4181 rating), and I think he got victimized (and "fairly" if that's possible) by the refs in the Big Ten for being a physical frosh. Look for his ratings to markedly improve next season. Outside of him and Jones, and maybe Dumes, I don't think we'll see much PT for the other returning players.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Iowa</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s)</span>: The wings were the strength of this team, namely Jake Kelly (15.1/.3114) and Matt Gatens (15.2/.2978). Jeff Peterson (16.3/.3182) & David Palmer (9.4/.3151) were above average as well. But once Cyrus Tate (.3555) went down, so did Iowa's NIT hopes.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s)</span>: The bench. Possible 2010 starters Devan Bawinkel (.1345) and Aaron Fuller (.1697) were awful, as was reserve center Andrew Brommer (.1697).<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in!</span> This year's drama has to be the weirdest non-resolution of a coach-player clash I've seen in quite a while. Well, the Calhoun-Robinson thing at UConn last year was pretty wild too. But the curious case of Anthony Tucker had me scratching my head all year. Often effective (13.2/.3622, and oft-used: 36.3 poss.per game) in the pre-season, erratically and rarely used (15 poss./pg in 4 games, 4.3/.2831) in conference play, and now heavily-used again in the off-season, Tucker is nonetheless the best bet for Iowa at the three-spot in 2010.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes</span>: With the unfortunate career-ending injury of Cyrus Tate, and the raft of refugees (Peterson, Kelly, Palmer, Davis) from Lickliter's program, 2009 has been a bad year for Hawkeye fans. Hopefully, Lickliter likes Tucker again next season, because the only other options for a second wing are Devan Bawinkel (perhaps the worst player getting the most minutes in the conference) and the untested and unheralded freshman, Eric May. Jarryd Cole may also struggle moving from the 4-spot to the 5 next season, which will probably affect his average efficiency adversely. And we probably shouldn't talk about the point guard sitch unless we have to. Ouch.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Michigan</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s)</span>: Essentially, this was a two-man team. DeShawn Sims (19.8/.4206) and Manny Harris (21.3/.4288) accounted for about 43% of the team's entire production, but more notably, no else was even close in per-game or per-possession terms. Beilien knows how to maximize his best players.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s)</span>: Actually, outside of the two stars, only reserves Zack Gibson, Kelvin Grady, and CJ Lee were in the average range. But with a plethora of freshmen guards, the lack of per-possession efficiency is not surprising.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in!</span> Zack Gibson again did pretty well with a .3471 rating despite very limited minutes, and CJ Lee could've probably used a few more minutes with his above-average .3131 rating. Last year I thought Gibson was ready for a leap forward, and at times he looked really good this year, but he also just seemed useless at others. Probably he's just an effective reserve.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes:</span> Five starters plus Gibson return, and Beilien adds a fine recruiting class to replace the departed bench. I don't see a lot of PT for the frosh big men, Gibson or the redshirted 7-footer Ben Cronin, as the Michigan offense relies on the bigs being able to shoot from outside reliably and *pass the ball.* Novak, Lucas-Perry, and Douglass should all improve with a year under their belts, so the UM program should continue its recovery.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Michigan State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s)</span>: This was a year for the books for the Spartans. But to me, once again, it was Goran Suton for the Big Ten efficiency POY. Intangibly, you could tell a big difference between MSU with Suton and without him. And he was 6th in the per-game rankings (20.8) while also ranking third in per-possession performance overall (.4804), putting him in a very elite group of players who were elite in both (Turner, J. Johnson, Krabbenhoft, & Sims). But even more impressive is that he was still this elite on the Big 10's deepest and far-and-away best team. Delvon Roe & Draymond Green deserve mentions as promising talent (.4649 & .4066)<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s)</span>: The bench wings were a little weak, and perhaps it is a function of Izzo's offense, but Durrell Summers (.2391) & Chris Allen (.2199) just weren't effective per-possession. They need to find a way to improve over the summer, because they'll be seeing a lot more minutes next year.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in! </span>Izzo's pretty good at maximizing his potential, but I think the one guy who coud've gotten more minutes was Draymond Green. Unfortunately, Roe is even better per-possession, so unless there's a way to put them on the floor at the same time, their minutes aren't going to increase substantially anytime soon.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes</span>: There's just a lot of great young talent here (I haven't even mentioned Kalin Lucas- 17.6/.3333), but the Spartans are going to miss Suton, Walton, and yes, even Marquise Gray & Idong Ibok next season. However, where things should absolutely improve is in the play of Raymar Morgan. Before the conference season began, he was playing at an all Big-Ten level (21.0/.4579). With his health suffering, he was a different player for much of the conference season. Despite the losses, which will hurt, this is title-threat.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Minnesota</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s)</span>: Although Damian Johnson led UM in per-game contributions (and is the perhaps the conference exemplar for the need for a system that takes into account more than just offensive stats), the real surprise here is Paul Carter. Despite posting a slightly above-average per-game productivity due to receiving only bench minutes, his .4878 rating was second only to NU's Mike Capocci. In fact, Carter saw about four times the possessions that Capocci did, making him a reasonable candidate for most effective player, but Goran Suton still got nearly twice the possessions as Carter while on a much better team. Still, impressively done, Mr. Carter!<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s)</span>: Lawrence Westbrook's .2741 rating, while average for a shooting guard, still doesn't rate well for the leading scorer. And there's not much help off the bench as Blake Hoffarber seemingly took a big step back from last year's .2821 rating to this year's .1961. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in!</span> Obviously, Carter was the guy who needed more minutes -according to the stats. I didn't watch a lot of Minnesota games, but he always seemed to making contributions when I watched. Devron Bostick seemed like a disappointment during the year, but his per-possession rating (.3427) was actually pretty good.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes</span>: With two good freshmen coming in, minutes start to become a question. One doesn't want Damian Johnson & Paul Carter to lose minutes, and yet you've got to find room for Royce White and Rodney Williams. And yet, with good young talent like Al Nolen and Ralph Sampson III already in place, it's a luxury to have this question. And really, if Westbrook becomes just a bit more efficient (less turnovers, better 2 FG%), Tubby's team should challenge for the conference crown.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Northwestern</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s)</span>: Coach Carmody squeezes his good players for all they're worth, so while Kevin Coble, Michael Thompson, and Craig Moore had good ratings, their efficiency probably was a little lower due to the heavy minutes. The surprise here was frosh center Luka Mirkovic, who led the team with his .4115 rating.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s)</span>: Kyle Rowley is the "winner" here with his weak .2034. Which is tough, because he's a freshman with good size and strength. If he works hard, there's no way he won't be a strong contributor for NU in the coming years.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in!</span> Mike Capocci's league-leading .5051 rating suggests that the man needs some more possessions. If Jeff Ryan might shift back to more a guard role, they both can get more minutes next season (.3159). However, both played very few possessions, and neither were great per-possession last season.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes</span>: This was actually a very deep team, as only the lightly-used Rowley, David Curletti, and Sterling Williams posted beow-average ratings. Craig Moore (17.6/.3276) will be missed, but Jeremy Nash was looking like he was ready to shoulder starting minutes anyway.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Ohio State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s)</span>: Evan Turner was huge in per-game production, at a league-leading 25.1. However, it seemed that Matta knew to maximize the use of a good player, so Turner's<br />per-possession was more on the level of very good, not great. BJ Mullens led the team in that area at .4532, so his contributions will be sorely missed.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s)</span>: The bench was pretty weak, particularly if one includes "starter" Dallas Lauderdale, who saw less PT than Mullens in-conference. But even Lauderdale's .2019 rating was better than Walter Offutt's .1961 and Kyle Madsen's .1397. Ouch!<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in!</span> Mullens was the only player who really stood out as needing more minutes. Of the starters, Jermaine Simmons could maybe use some more minutes, but even he was only average (.2809). I'd suggest Matta just needed more players.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes:</span> Losing Mullens hurts, as transfers Zizi Sarkopoulos and Nicola Kecman are unlikely to be as effective in the post. But the return of David Lighty could help offset that by shoring up the perimeter defense.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Penn State</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s):</span> Obviously, Talor Battle (20.9/.3739) was the standout here. The main reason that his numbers were even that low was due to his triple role as point guard,<br />playmaker, and bailout man. I'd also like to highlight Stanley Pringle, who was only above average in per-possession (.3234) but was a workhorse (46.6 possessions/game) for PSU.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s):</span> Even though Jamelle Cornley had a below-average .2514 rating and still got crazy usage (54.1 poss./game), the role he played was invaluable for this team. The real weak spot was at the wing, where nominal starter Jeff Brooks had the worst rating in the conference of all starters (.1925), and the more-used Danny Morrissey wasn't much better at .1969. But worst of all was reserve DJ Jackson at .1487!<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in!</span> Andrew Ott looked good in his reserve role with a .4019 rating, but again, this system favors low-usage reserve centers for some reason. Chris Babb's .2729 rating was on the low side of average, but that's still pretty good for a freshman guard.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes</span>: Ott & Babb will probably get more possessions, with Babb likely to start. The incoming freshmen class has promise, but it seems a longshot that they'll step in and produce immediately, so short of Brooks and Jackson becoming suddenly effective, the Nittany Lions seem likely to fall back for a year.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Purdue</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s)</span>: Robbie Hummel, even despite his injuries that led to a huge drop per-possession (from .5053 to .3626), was still the second-best on the team.<br />Without JaJuan Johnson's growth into a starring big man (22.3/.4693), Purdue may have had trouble making the NCAA tourney. <br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s)</span>: Keaton Grant got heavy minutes and didn't do a lot with them. His .2241 was the worst of any player who got starter's minutes. Maybe itwas just the fact that both he & Moore seem to play better when Hummel is healthy, but one has to wonder whether last season's drastic improvement was an aberration?<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in!</span> Marcus Green (.3201) continued to be one of the best 6th men in the conference. Ranking 39th overall as a wing player is no mean feat, and being such a solid option off the bench for two years proved his consistency.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes</span>: Returning their top six players and adding a solid class of freshmen suggests a Big Ten championship awaits these Boilers. Losing a little experienced depth like Green, Calasan, and Riddell off the bench will hurt a little, and the regression of Moore & Grant is a very real concern, but really coach Painter's top worry is the health of Robbie Hummel. Johnson is the top returning center in the conference, but a healthy Hummel is the difference between an okay season and a championship. <br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Wisconsin</span><br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Standout(s)</span>: Joe Krabbenhoft (21.4/.4796) was the clear standout on this team, in terms of efficiency. During the year I actually thought that he should become a little less effective by leading and shooting a little more, but that wasn't his game. 3rd overall in per-game production and 4th in per-possession, he was runner-up to Goran Suton for POY in these stats.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Weak link(s)</span>: I didn't think too much of Jordan Taylor & Rob Wilson during the year, and they were below-average overall, but for freshmen guards they actually did fine in per-possession terms. But the real weak link was Tim Jarmusz, who came in at 89th. His .2088 per-possession rating is bad news for Badger fans looking for him to step up into a starting role next year.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Put me in!</span> Per-possession, Jon Leuer (.3888) and Keaton Nankivil (.3858) were both actually well above-average. Of course, Marcus Landry & Joe Krabbenhoft were even better, so they ate up most of the minutes at the four-spot. Overall, I think Bo Ryan's pretty good at playing his most effective players the most minutes.<br /><span style="font-style:italic;">Next Year Notes</span>: Jarmusz's .2088 per-possession rating is bad news for Badger fans looking for him to step up into a starting role next year. Nankivil & Leuer should do just fine with the extra minutes inside. But the loss of Krabbenhoft & Landry is going to hurt. Unless the redshirts (Evans & Berggren) can really contribute and Mike Bruesewitz is the second coming of Krabbenhoft, I have a hard time seeing the Badgers make the NCAA's next season.Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-69834858045811347752009-01-19T16:28:00.000-08:002009-01-19T16:44:50.797-08:00My Rating System, and why it is the way it is.Josh from the Excellent Big Ten Geeks blog asked me about my rating system formula, and I thought I'd write up a full explanation.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">The non-secret Formula</span>:<br />Points + Rebounds + Offensive Rebounds + [2 x(Steals+Blocks)] + (2.5 x Assists) - [Missed FGs + (2 x Turnovers) + (Missed FTs/2)]<br /><br />Divide by game for per-game rating (hpg), and divide by individual possession for per-possession rating (hpps).<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Explanation/non-defense thereof:</span><br />I started working the formula up back when I was following the NBA in the early '90's, sort of as a way to figure out who might be best in on Fantasy NBA teams. A columnist at USA Today, maybe, proposed some model for comparing players, and I kind of went with it from there. I didn't think of applying it to the college game until a few years ago, when I came across the Big Ten Wonk. He had so many things covered in tempo-free ways, it was inspiring but also intimidating. Effective field goal % and rebounding rates and so much more, as you all well know. However, I like things in a tidier package for comparison's sakes, tho. Kyle Whelliston at Basketball State has a comparable model, but it's pretty much a straight addition of the box score. <br /><br />Here's the basics: I wanted to reward not only the ability to score points efficiently, but also the other aspects of the game that are so important but not as hyped. And with the Big Ten Wonk's focus on tempo-free comparison, I realized that the possession was the important thing I wanted to factor in. I remember Bob Knight saying about freshmen, that they didn't understand that when they turned it over, that was two points the team lost. And in general, in per-possession stats, that's true: most teams average around 1 point per possession on offense and give up close to the same on defense. But guys like Scottie Pippen, Ekpe Udoh, and Jamarcus Ellis never seemed to get the credit they deserved because their per-game scoring wasn't near other players while their rebounding, passing (well, not Udoh), and ability to get defensive stops went unrecognized. I thought a formula like this might help even it out.<br /><br />So, obviously points were points, and steals were plus two points, and turnovers were minus two. Offensive rebounds secure a possession where a team shouldn't have one, so that's plus another two points. Blocks are little more difficult, because they aren't always a sure stop, but I figured someone who block shots probably also intimidates or changes shots enough to balance that out: plus two for them as well.<br />I especially wanted to reward assists. I grew up in Southern Indiana, so passing was always a premium, but it's always irritated me that assists are valued so lightly in other computations (the NBA and Whelliston are examples, but just about every sport puts assists as one point). Especially in basketball, where assists can be on three-point plays or shots, or what should be an assist can so easily turn into a foul on the other team and two more points, to boot. But I figured with a rough count that 30+% of all points come from free-throws and the additional point from three-point makes, so I rounded up to 2.5 points per assist. Really, it should be 2.3 or less, but I was using missed free-throws as minus half-a-point, so for ease, I figured it balanced out. Also, since it's been revealed that the home games result in higher assist counts for the home team, my system could be criticized for putting a premium on the most subjective measure in the box score. But, over 16+ conference games evenly split between home & road, I hope it balances out, too.<br /><br />I count missed shots as minus one point because offensive rebounds do happen, and some teams used the missed shot as a feature of their offense (Michigan State under Izzo, as well as the Fab Five). And I count rebounds as only one point, as I felt that defensive rebounds are something that basically should happen. Someone else from your team will likely grab that board if you don't. And that's perhaps unfair. But I saw a lot at both the college and professional level of big men grabbing rebounds when noone was near them and snarling or screaming. Besides the aesthetically unpleasantness, I just didn't think that say, DJ White should get as much credit for a rebound on the defensive board -which was often snagged over a teammate (namely Ellis), - as opposed to the rarer and I think harder task of getting a offensive rebound. But, at the end of the season, I may try a tweaked version where I count Def. rebounds as plus two points and missed shots as minus two points. I could also count missed free-throws as minus a full point, also.<br /><br />The one thing I'd like to do, but sort of flies against the intent of my system, is to reward three-point makes with an extra point due to their value to any offense. It's hard to operate an offense if you don't have shooters to keep the defense from packing it in. But it would require valuing threes as more than just three points in the system, but really as four points each. But it might be necessary in recognizing the value that a guy like Jason Bohannon has to his offense, and especially if I start counting defensive rebounds as two points.<br /><br />Any (collegial) thoughts or suggestions are, as always, completely welcome.Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-7983579904797852312009-01-01T14:10:00.000-08:002009-01-01T14:19:01.923-08:00PreConference Player ratings for 2009Obviously, a rating system is not so valuable when it's out of conference, and the strength of schedule is a variable. Also, a lot of players get a few minutes here or there and then see basically no time in conference play. Their efficiency ratings tend to vary wildly (reserve centers especially tend to post per-possession ratings north of .8000, with four doing so this year), so I cut 20 players off the bat for, well, for being walk-ons and receiving walk-on minutes. I also cut anyone averaging under 10 possessions a game, which threw out most of the outliers, including all of those centers. So, by the time I started putting together averages, 36 of the original 151 players that've seen action for Big Ten didn't make the cut. As a result of this selective inflation, and due to the historical tendency for efficiency averages to drop during Big Ten play, don't take these ratings as definitive... anything. But I do think they'll still be useful in spotting some trends overall.<br /><br />Explanation of the system is <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2007/03/final-big-ten-hper-ratings.html">here</a> and this PreConference spreadsheet full report is <a href="http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p6OJDbsNqEn2knPt6Uac8SA">here</a>.<br /><br />Average HPPG: 11.4<br />Mode HPPG: 9.0<br /><br />Average HPPS: .3239<br />Mode HPPS: .2918<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten Per-Game performers</span><br />Manny Harris, Michigan (33.1)<br />Talor Battle, PSU (31.7)<br />Damian Johnson, Minnesota (26.9)<br />Evan Turner, Ohio State (26.4)<br />DeShawn Sims, Michigan (26)<br />Al Nolen, Minnesota (25.9)<br />Rob Hummel, Purdue (25.8)<br />Chester Frazier, Illinois (24.5)<br />Kevin Coble, Northwestern (23.2)<br />Kalin Lucas, Michigan State (23.1)<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten Per-Possession performers</span><br />Manny Harris, Michigan (.6187)<br />Damian Johnson, Minnesota (.6079)<br />Talor Battle, PSU (.5363)<br />Rob Hummel, Purdue (.5193)<br />Al Nolen, Minnesota (.5167)<br />DeShawn Sims, Michigan (.5159)<br />Goran Suton, Michigan State (.5066)<br />Dominique Keller, Illinois (.5051)<br />Draymond Green, Michigan State (.4979)<br />JaJuan Johnson, Purdue (.4924)<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top 15 Freshmen</span><br />Colton Iverson (15.9/.4901)<br />JOhn Shurna (15.2/.4838)<br />Tom Pritchard (20.8/.4181)<br />Matt Gatens (17.0/.3898)<br />Lewis Jackson (11.6/.3134)<br />Draymond Green (6.6/.4979)<br />Ralph Sampson (14.4/.4741)<br />Delvon Roe (12.5/.3988)<br />Laval Lucas-Perry (12.3/.3772)<br />Korie Lucious (4.8/.3171)<br />BJ Mullens (11.4/.3723)<br />Anthony Tucker (13.2//.3622)<br />William Buford (9.7/.2832)<br />Verdell Jones (9.8/.2757)<br />Stu Douglass (9.0/.2734)<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">School reviews</span><br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Illinois</span><br />Definitely some surprises here. Dominique Keller (.5051) is tops on the team in per-possession efficiency, but with Mike Davis producing so well (20.9/.4498), I'm not shocked that Keller's PT is still low. But that'll increase in conference play, I bet. On the other end of the spectrum, Alex Legion only has a few games under his belt, but after a year of practicing with the team, I really expected a better start. Instead, Legion is second only to OSU's Walter Offutt as the worst per-possession performer (at .0423). Chester Frazier has been producing very <br />well (24.5/.4811), but once again, he's carrying a heavy load in minutes, although this year it seems to be justified.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Indiana</span><br />Uh, not much good news here, so let's start with the bad. Only one player is above average in per-possession efficiency, and the only player who falls in the average range is Kyle Taber (at .3194). There's not much to glean here in terms of who should be playing more, Crean's doing the best he can with a bad hand. But I would suggest play Tom Pritchard, Taber, and Verdell Jones until their legs fall off. <br />In the good news column, Pritchard's one the best freshmen in the conference (20.8/.4181), which should bring good returns in future seasons. Jones is only slightly-below average (.2757), and has shown the ability to make plays. Aesthetically, he bothers me with his poor decisions, but just keep Moore at point most of the time. Moore's okay for a freshman point guard, but that still compares badly outside of that paradigm. Devan Dumes had a recent resurgence, but unless he starts hitting threes consistently, Crean might as well give those minutes to anyone else, even Matt Roth, who's incredibly poor .1819 average is still above Dumes' .1732 rating.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Iowa</span><br />The Hawkeyes in general have been much better than I expected, and Jake Kelly & Jeff Peterson who were really poor in last season's efficiency standings, have been very good (.4533 & ..3556, respectively). Anthony Tucker has been a bit of pleasant surprise, until he got himself suspended (13.2/.3622). Fellow freshman Matt Gatens has been quite good as well (17.0/.3898), and Cyrus Tate has been as good as expected (15.9/.4781). However, interior play is a big concern, as Jarryd Cole (.1926) and Aaron Fuller(.2538) are pretty disappointing so far. <br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan</span><br />I didn't expect Coach Beilien to revive this program so fast, especially after last season's efficiency stud, Ekpe Udoh, transferred in the offseason. But Michigan's small-ball offense and 1-3-1 defense have been effective this year. Obviously the key to all of this is Manny Harris' player-of-the-year level performance (33.1/.6187). He's been very good at scoring in every way, as well as cutting down on turnovers while increasing assists and not to mention rebounding like a power forward. In looking for more PT, CJ Lee has a case with his low-usage, above-average play (.3669), but it's unlikely to happen if Laval Lucas-Perry (12.3/.3772) keeps shooting lights-out from three.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan State</span><br />Well, these ratings might give Spartan Weblog's kj some relief. Kalin Lucas, while not the best point guard, is the best per-game performer (23.1) on the MSU team due to his incredible 7:1 assist/to ratio. Lucas' poor-shooting keeps him out of the top 5, tho, but just one more made three per game would put him with the conference's elite. A quick glance down the Sparties' assist-turnover stats shows Lucas' value to the team, as only Travis Walton has a positive ratio among the major minute earners. But Walton still turns it over too much for a senior combo guard. Goran Suton's <br />return is helping the offense tremendously(20.2), and he's already MSU's best per-possession performer(.5066), and with Lucas and #11 Raymar Morgan (21.0/.4579), gives the Sparties three top-15 per-game producers. The per-possession news isn't as great, but it's still pretty good, and in particular reserve Draymond Green (.4979) is looking to be featured a little more, as his per-possession rating is second only to Suton's on the team. MSU looks good for a conference title, I think.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Minnesota</span><br />The center position is paying dividends for Tubby Smith, as his three of his top five per-possession performers are freshmen Colton Iverson(.4901) and Ralph Sampson (.4741) followed by senior reserve Jonathan Williams(.4589). Lawrence Westbrook (.3405) & Blake Hoffarber (.3246) are slightly above average, but outside of the outstanding Damian Johnson (.6079) & Al Nolen(.5167), there actually isn't much efficient depth here on a per-possession basis. Former Juco POY Devron Bostick has been somewhat disappointing (.2853), serving more as a role player than the expected impact wing. Honestly, former walk-on Travis Busch has been as good as a non-center bench option as coach Smith has (at .3259).<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Northwestern</span><br />The big turnaround for NU is no mystery. Freshmen John Shurna, Kyle Rowley, Luka Mirkovic, and David Curletti have provided quality inside play to complement to last year's starters Craig Moore, Kevin Coble, Michael Thompson, and Ivan Peljusic. Jeff Ryan has been effective enough off the bench (.3306), far better than as a part-time starter last season, but the presence of Shurna upfront has allowed Coble to return to an effective combo-forward role (23.2/.4546). One note of concern, outside of Shurna's team-leading per-possession efficiency (at .4838), the other freshmen bigs are all well below average. This suggests that we shouldn't quite believe in NU making the NCAA tourney quite yet. Still, the future is looking much brighter for coach Carmody.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Ohio State</span><br />One of the major stories of the early season was OSU's resurgence and Evan Turner's incredible play. However, you'll note that Turner's production is quite good on a per-game basis, he's not in the top ten per-possession. His rating falls down to 17th there, which is still very good, but I think he's not going to be conference POY. Frosh center BJ Mullens hasn't been quite as good as expected, but he's been solid per-possession (.3723), and Dallas Lauderdale's incredible improvement (18.1/.4637) has kept Mullens on the bench a little more than I expected. However, per-possession, noone else is really even at an average efficiency level. Power Forward Nikola Kecman should be available for conference play and might add another shooter and rebounder for OSU. Matta's club in good shape for a NCAA bid, but the flat loss to WVU does call the resurgence into some question.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Penn State</span><br />Talor Battle has been incredible so far this year, 2nd in per-game production (31.7) and 3rd in per-possession efficiency (.5363). Stanley Pringle has also been quite good (20.8/.4465), but outside of Jamelle Cornley's slightly above-average efficiency (.3402), there isn't a lot of guys who should be playing more. Jeff Brooks is above-average (3294), but he can only take minutes from Cornley and Andrew Jones (.3125), who is the only other average player. And now Andrew Ott is looking to get some PT as well, but the early returns haven't bad, but not really great either. As always, the defense and strength of schedule are questions for the Nittany Lions going into conference play. But PSU has a shot at the post-season due to Battle's fantastic play.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Purdue</span><br />The Boilermakers are certainly one of the best teams in the conference, but outside of JaJuan Johnson's improvement (19.4/.4924) and freshman point Lewis Jackson (11.6/.3134), there isn't a lot of great news here. Sure, the guards are fine, Marcus Green is still great off the bench (possessing a very good .4161) and Robbie Hummel is still great(25.8/.5193). But Keaton Grant has regressed back a couple years, taking a significant step backward (.2196) from last season's performance, and E'Twuann Moore isn't looking like the all-conference guard he was last season (dropping to .3475). But Purdue usually seems to be better in conference play than<br />outside it, so look for most of these averages to improve soon.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Wisconsin</span><br />Jon Leuer is the big winner of the Badgers in per-possesion terms (.4792), but the core of Marcus Landry, Jon Krabbenhoft, and Trevon Hughes has been quite good as well. Keaton Nankivil has been a pleasant surprise as a starter at the center spot,<br />but his average performance (9.0/.3109) still has left the Badgers significantly worse off on interior than last season, when Brian Butch & Greg Stiemsma were the best 1-2 punch in the Big Ten. The freshmen class has been extremely disappointing so far, with only Jordan Taylor and Rob Wilson getting any significant time, and both of the them posting the fifth and fourth lowest per-possession ratings (.0593 & .0594 respectively). But coach Ryan always develops his players slowly, and is one of the best in the business, so Badger fans shouldn't worry about the future.Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-18348718357138912582008-05-09T14:59:00.001-07:002008-05-09T15:08:08.785-07:00Final Big Ten 2008 RatingsBig Ten 2008 conference-only efficiency and possession-based efficiency stats<br /><br />The full report <a href="http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p6OJDbsNqEn3QP9IZHC2gYg">is here</a> and the 2007 season Big Ten ratings and explanations <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2007/03/final-big-ten-hper-ratings.html">are here</a>, but essentially this is my way of home-cooking the box scores to understand how valuable each player is to their team by measuring their effectiveness in scoring (points, FG%, FT%), passing (assists), holding onto the ball (def. rebounds, turnovers), and getting stops (steals, blocked shots) & extra possessions (offensive rebounds). I measure it in two categories: per-game production and per-possession production. If you look the per-possession or hpps rating at this way, this last season Wisconsin reserve Greg Stiemsma was about 54% likely on any given possession to help his team out in terms of getting a possession or a score, which was tops in the conference. However, Iowa starter Jake Kelly was at the opposite end of the spectrum, at about 17%. However, since Kelly played a lot more possessions than Stiemsma, their per-game productivity wasn't vastly dissimilar (6.9 for Kelly vs. 8.3 for Stiemsma). It's certainly not infallible as players at different position do so many different things, that's it hard to put them all on one metric. But I think this is helpful tool, as long as it is combined with some common sense.<br /><br />2008 Per-Game (hppg) mean: 9.3<br />2008 Per-Possession (hpps) mean: .2826<br /><br />2008 Per-Game (hppg) median: 8.2<br />2008 Per-Possession (hpps) median: .2831<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten Performers per game:</span><br />1. DJ White, Indiana (28.4)<br />2. Rob Hummel, Purdue (24.2)<br />3. Jamar Butler, Ohio State (23.7)<br />4. E'Twaun Moore, Purdue (19.9)<br />5. Jamarcus Ellis, Indiana (19.8)<br />6. Goran Suton, Michigan State (19.8)<br />7. Demetri McCamey, Illinois (19.1)<br />8. Ekpe Udoh, Michigan (18.9)<br />9. Eric Gordon, Indiana (18.8)<br />10. Michael Flowers, Wisconsin (18.2)<br /><br />*Special mention to Geary Claxton, Penn State who had been averaging 26.6 in the three games before going down with a career-ending injury in the fourth conference game.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Top Ten Performers Per Possession (min. 10 poss/per game):</span><br />1. Greg Stiemsma, Wisconsin (.5388)<br />2. Rob Hummel, Purdue (.5053)<br />3. DJ White, Indiana (.4955)<br />4. Goran Suton, Michigan State (.4506)<br />5. Brian Butch, Wisconsin (.4502)<br />6. Ekpe Udoh, Michigan (.4165)<br />7. Cyrus Tate, Iowa (.4043)<br />8. Kosta Koufos, Ohio State (.4041)<br />9. Demetri McCamey, Illinois (.3979)<br />10. Jamar Butler, Ohio State (.3957)<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Top Five Centers</span><br />1. DJ White, Indiana<br />2. Goran Suton, Michigan State<br />3. Ekpe Udoh, Michigan<br />4. Kosta Koufos, Ohio State<br />5. Brian Butch, Wisconsin<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Five Power Forwards</span><br />1. Rob Hummel, Purdue<br />2. Kevin Coble, Northwestern<br />3. Jamelle Cornley, Penn State<br />4. Cyrus Tate, Iowa<br />5. Othello Hunter, Ohio State<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Five Small Forwards</span><br />1. Jamarcus Ellis, Indiana<br />2. Raymar Morgan, Michigan State<br />3. Joe Krabbenhoft, Wisconsin<br />4. Damian Johnson, Minnesota<br />5. Manny Harris, Michigan<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Top Five Scoring Guards</span><br />1. E'Twaun Moore, Purdue<br />2. Demetri McCamey, Illinois<br />3. Eric Gordon, Indiana<br />4. Michael Flowers, Wisconsin<br />5. Drew Nietzel, Michigan State<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Five Point Guards</span><br />1. Jamar Butler, Ohio State<br />2. Tony Freeman, Iowa<br />3. Chris Kramer, Purdue<br />4. Lawrence Westbrook, Minnesota<br />5. Michael Thompson, Northwestern<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten Freshmen:</span><br />1. Rob Hummel, Purdue<br />2. E'Twaun Moore, Purdue<br />3. Demetri McCamey, Illinois<br />4. Eric Gordon, Indiana<br />5. Kosta Koufos, Ohio State<br />6. Al Nolen, Minnesota<br />7. Evan Turner, Ohio State<br />8. Kalin Lucas, Michigan State<br />9. Manny Harris, Michigan<br />10. Michael Thompson, Northwestern<br /> <br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten players to look out for in 2009!</span><br />1. Rob Hummel, Purdue<br />2. Goran Suton, Michigan State<br />3. Demetri McCamey, Illinois<br />4. Kevin Coble, Northwestern<br />5. Cyrus Tate, Iowa<br />6. Raymar Morgan, Michigan State<br />7. Damian Johnson, Minnesota<br />8. E'Twaun Moore, Purdue<br />9. Lawrence Westbrook, Minnesota<br />10. Zack Gibson, MichiganIndiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-8945648115958522972008-02-13T09:58:00.000-08:002008-02-13T11:16:39.994-08:00Ratings for Conference Halfway pointConference games only, through Feb. 7th<br /><br />The full report <a href="http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p6OJDbsNqEn1OLiEFyriLaA">is here</a>. Last year's ratings and explanations <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2007/03/final-big-ten-hper-ratings.html">are here</a>. The Indiana & Illinois double-OT has been taken into account in calculations of both hppg and hpps.<br /><br />Size: <br />121 players total, 104 are currently active and see significant possessions per game.<br /><br />Hppg median: 8.2<br />Hppg mean: 9.3<br />Hpps median: .2906<br />Hpps mean: .2747<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten per-game effective production performers*.</span><br />1. Jamar Butler, OSU, 29.7<br />2. DJ White, Ind., 28.4<br />3. Jamarcus Ellis, Ind., 24.7<br />4. Robbie Hummel, Pur., 21.8<br />5. E'Twuan Moore, Pur., 20.9<br />6. Goran Suton, MSU, 20.5<br />7. Drew Nietzel, MSU, 20.4<br />8. Joe Krabbenhoft, Wisc., 20.3<br />9. Jamelle Cornley, PSU, 19.5<br />10. Michael "Juice" Thompson, NU, 19.2<br />10. Kevin Coble, NU, 19.2<br />10. Eric Gordon, Ind., 19.2 <br /><br />*{Geary Claxton had a 26.7 hppg rating through 3 games before his season-ending injury}<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Top Ten per-game effective production performers.</span><br /><br />1. Robbie Hummel, Pur., .5346<br />2. Eric Wallace, OSU, .5239<br />3. Jamar Butler, OSU, .5048<br />4. Greg Stiemsma, Wisc., .4859<br />5. DJ White, Ind., .4845<br />6. Marcus Green, Pur., .4701<br />7. E'Twuan Moore, Pur., .4621<br />8. Jamarcus Ellis, Ind., .4545<br />9. Brian Butch, Wis., .4501<br />10. Goran Suton, MSU, .4399 <br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Top Ten Freshmen</span><br />1. Robbie Hummel, Pur., 21.8/.5346<br />2. E'Twuan Moore, Pur., 20.9/.4621<br />3. Eric Gordon, Ind., 19.2/.3333<br />4. Michael "Juice" Thompson 19.2/.3131<br />5. Kosta Koufas, OSU, 15.9/.3773<br />6. Demetri McCamey, Ill., 15.7/.3298<br />7. Al Nolen, Minn., 12.1/.3579<br />8. Manny Harris, Mich., 16.9/.3057<br />9. Kalin Lucas, MSU, 12.2/.3008<br />10. Evan Turner, OSU, 12/.2646<br />10. Talor Battle, PSU, 13.5/.2425<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">11 guys who should get more PT</span><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">1. Illinois</span><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Jeffrey Jordan</span> (.3644) should probably get a longer look. Who would've thought I'd be advocating for a Jordan to get more PT in the state of Illinois?<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">2. Indiana</span><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Brandon McGee </span>(.4946) hasn't played any meaningful minutes, but his skills have been on display in the garbage time he gets.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">3. Iowa</span><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Jeff Peterson</span> has demonstrated some increased ability in the backcourt, and his hpps ratings isn't great (.2227), but it's far better than starter Jake Kelly's (.0417).<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">4. Michigan</span><br />The best marks are from their centers, but I'd like to see<span style="font-weight:bold;"> CJ Lee </span>(.2789) get more time than Kelvin Grady (.1921) or David Merritt (.2202). <br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">5. Michigan State</span><br />After the loss to smaller, faster PU, maybe Izzo will look at going small & putting <span style="font-weight:bold;">Durrell Summers </span>(.3092) on the floor & giving Kalin Lucas (.3008) more freedom.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">6. Minnesota</span><br />The numbers say <span style="font-weight:bold;">Jamal Abu-Shamala</span> (.3946) should get more time. I'm unsure if his numbers will continue to look good after playing some teams not named Northwestern.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">7. Northwestern</span><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Jeremy Nash</span> leads the team in per-possession effectiveness (.3927) and is starting to get some minutes. Northwestern needs this kid on the floor even more.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">8. Ohio State</span><br />I'll repeat this from the last report: "Players were raving about <span style="font-weight:bold;">Eric Wallace's (.5239)</span> talent and ability in the pre-season, so I'm sort of wondering why he doesn't get more time on the floor? He's done pretty decent in garbage time."<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">9. Penn State</span><br />Hmm, nothing really jumps out here, except a lot of low numbers. DeChellis should probably play the freshmen as much as possible and try to build for next season. <span style="font-weight:bold;">Schyler King </span>still looks better than most options.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">10. Purdue</span><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Marcus Green</span> is no longer the most effective player for the team (.4701 hpps), but you've already seen his name as the 6th-best in the conference. But what am *I* going to be telling Matt Painter?<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">11. Wisconsin</span><br />Repeat from the last report: "<span style="font-weight:bold;">Greg Stiemsma (.4859)</span> was one of the Big Ten's best bench performers in the hpps category last season, and continues to be this season."Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-46793868791687336122008-01-21T10:03:00.000-08:002008-01-21T11:58:00.449-08:00Big Ten Games through 1/18/08I just published the latest HFB ratings, it's all <a href="http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p6OJDbsNqEn2Oct66WU8WDA">viewable here</a>. The sample size (4-5 games) is really small, so this won't tell us a lot. Here's last year's <a href="http://hfbratings.blogspot.com/2007/03/final-big-ten-hper-ratings.html">ratings and explanations</a>.<br /><br />Size: 122 players total, 107 with significant possessions.<br /><br />Hppg median: 7.5<br />Hppg mean: 9.9<br />Hpps median: .2828<br />Hpps mean: .2758<br /><br /><b>Top Ten per-game effective production performers.</b><br />1. Jamar Butler, OSU, 32.8<br />2. DJ White, Ind., 29.8<br />3. Jamarcus Ellis, Ind., 24.8 <br />4. Jamelle Cornley, PSU, 24.1<br />5. Kevin Coble, NU, 23.7<br />6. Dan Coleman, Minn., 21.8<br />7. Michael "Juice" Thompson, NU, 21.5<br />8. Joe Krabbenhoft, Wisc., 20.0<br />9. Drew Nietzel, MSU, 20.0<br />10. Al Nolen, Minn., 19.8<br /><br />*{Geary Claxton had a 26.7 hppg rating through 3 games before his season-ending injury}<br /><br /><b>Top Ten per-game effective production performers.</b><br />1. Kurt Looby, Iowa, .6089<br />2. Jamar Butler, OSU, .5576<br />3. DJ White, Ind., .5229<br />4. Brandon Hassell, PSU, .5173<br />5. Greg Stiemsma, Wisc., .5133<br />6. Marcus Green, Pur. .4865<br />7. Al Nolen, Minn., .4667<br />8. Brian Butch, Wisc., .4619<br />9. Jamarcus Ellis, Ind., .4512<br />10. Dan Coleman, Minn., .4492<br /><br /><b>Top Ten Freshmen</b><br />1. Michael "Juice" Thompson 21.5/.3359<br />2. Al Nolen, Minn., 19.8/.4667<br />3. Manny Harris, Mich., 18.8/.3382<br />4. Robbie Hummel, Pur., 18.3/.3789<br />5. E'Twuan Moore, Pur., 18.2/.3499<br />6. Demetri McCamey, Ill., 18.1/.3929<br />7. Kosta Koufas, OSU, 16.3/.3045<br />8. Kalin Lucas, MSU, 12.1/.2934<br />9. Talor Battle, PSU, 12.1/.2418<br />10. Eric Gordon, Ind., 11.8/.2093<br /><br /><b>11 guys who should get more PT</b><br />1. Illinois<br />Calvin Brock's already a starter, but <span style="font-weight:bold;">Mike Tisdale</span> looks best off the bench.<br /><br />2. Indiana<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">DeAndre Thomas'</span> .4015 hpps rating should keep Hoosiers fans from despairing in the event of DJ White getting into foul trouble.<br /><br />3. Iowa<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Kurt Looby </span>leads the league with his .6089 hpps mark. But the Hawkeyes need guards.<br /><br />4. Michigan<br />Um, anyone should be getting more PT than Ron Coleman, whose .0823 hpps rating is only higher than Hawkeye Jake Kelly's 0.0157 among starters. Maybe <b>CJ Lee</b>?<br /><br />5. Michigan State<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Durrell Summers</span> has great production for the limited time he's on the floor. You don't want to take minutes away from Morgan or Nietzel, but find this kid a spot.<br /><br />6. Minnesota<br />I would say <span style="font-weight:bold;">Kevin Payton</span> should play more, but I know Tubby's got him on the bench due to his turnovers. Overall, I would put the ball into McKenzie's hands less, tho.<br /><br />7. Northwestern<br />Uh, this is pretty sad, but Kevin Coble is the obvious choice. But seriously, I say <span style="font-weight:bold;">Mike Capocci</span> (.4274) should probably take Jeff Ryan's spot. Also, Jeremy Nash and Ivan Peljusic could probably help out a little more, too.<br /><br />8. Ohio State<br />Players were raving about <span style="font-weight:bold;">Eric Wallace</span>'s talent and ability in the pre-season, so I'm sort of wondering why he doesn't get more time on the floor? He's done pretty decent in garbage time.<br /><br />9. Penn State<br />Brandon Hassell is a guy who puts up decent numbers, but like Marco Killingsworth, the stats just don't reflect his lousy interior defense. Maybe DeChellis should give <span style="font-weight:bold;">Schyler King</span> a longer look, who played pretty well in one short stint.<br /><br />10. Purdue<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Marcus Green </span>is technically a starter, but he's also far and away the most effective player (.4865 hpps) the Boilers have right now. Let the kid play!<br /><br />11. Wisconsin<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Greg Stiemsma</span> was one of the Big Ten's best bench performers in the hpps category last season, and continues to be this season.Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-32110623973465559442007-12-20T08:54:00.000-08:002007-12-20T09:18:36.021-08:00Big Ten Eff. Ratings & Tempo-free AdjustmentsFor non-conference games through December 8th. Here's the hpps (per-possession efficiency) and hppg (per-game efficiency) totals for Big Ten players.<br />Once again, the column key is :<br />name:school:individual possessions per game:per-possession efficiency:total efficiency: per-game efficiency<br /><br />Pruitt, Shaun Illinois 42.7 0.4481 153 19.1<br />Meachem, Trent Illinois 39.9 0.4611 147.5 18.4<br />Randle, Brian Illinois 38.1 0.382 116.5 14.6<br />Brock, Calvin Illinois 39.4 0.3699 116.5 14.6<br />Alexander, R. Illinois 24.5 0.393 77 9.6<br />Frazier, C. Illinois 53.9 0.2877 124 15.5<br />McCamey, D. Illinois 31.1 0.2373 59 7.4<br />Tisdale, Mike Illinois 17.8 0.1999 28.5 4.8<br />Davis, Mike Illinois 14.5 0.3663 42.5 5<br />Cole, Bill Illinois 12.4 0.3754 28 4.7<br />Holdren, Steve Illinois 16.9 0.2275 23 3.8<br />Gordon, Eric Indiana 59.1 0.4269 201.5 25.3<br />White, DJ Indiana 55.1 0.4327 214.5 23.8<br />Crawford, J. Indiana 49.8 0.3312 99 16.5<br />Bassett, Armon Indiana 55.6 0.2564 114 14.3<br />Ellis, Jamarcus Indiana 60.1 0.3815 206.5 22.9<br />Thomas, DeAndre Indiana 24.9 0.3301 74 8.2<br />White, Mike Indiana 36.5 0.2915 42.5 10.6<br />Stemler, Lance Indiana 44.1 0.2592 103 11.4<br />McGee, Brandon Indiana 14.1 0.1524 15 2.1<br />Holman, Eli Indiana 13.7 0.2256 18.5 3.1<br />Taber, Kyle~ Indiana 4.7 0.4432 10.5 2.1<br />Ratliff, AJ Indiana 0 0 0 0<br />Ahfeld, Adam~ Indiana 4.7 0.1899 4.5 1.5<br />Johnson, Justin Iowa 55.6 0.2716 166 15.1<br />Freeman, Tony Iowa 40 0.4125 16.5 16.5<br />Peterson, Jeff Iowa 53.2 0.1561 83 7.6<br />Kelly, Jake Iowa 41.1 0.2718 123 11.2<br />Cole, Jarryd Iowa 35.2 0.2867 111 10.1<br />Looby, Kurt Iowa 38.5 0.4799 203 18.5<br />Bohall, Dan Iowa 30.8 0.2421 67 7.4<br />Tate, Cyrus Iowa 20.4 0.1595 32.5 3.3<br />Angle, J.R. Iowa 20.4 0.2262 41.5 4.6<br />Gorney, Seth Iowa 27.1 0.2479 74 6.7<br />Palmer, David Iowa 6 0.0919 5 0.6<br />Sims, DeShawn Michigan 40.3 0.3582 130 14.4<br />Grady, Kelvin Michigan 37.4 0.3192 107.5 11.8<br />Gibson, Zack Michigan 27.3 0.3812 93.5 10.4<br />Udoh, Ekpe Michigan 38.2 0.4092 140.5 15.6<br />Wright, Anthony Michigan 26.5 0.1781 42.5 5.3<br />Shepperd, J. Michigan 8.5 0.1764 12 1.5<br />Morris, K'Len Michigan 15.8 0.0633 9 1<br />Harris, Manny Michigan 50.5 0.3454 157 17.4<br />Coleman, Ron Michigan 52.3 0.2655 125 13.9<br />Smith, Jerrett Michigan 21.6 0.3243 35 7<br />Lee, CJ Michigan 15.1 0.3058 41.5 4.6<br />Nietzel, Drew Michigan State 50.4 0.4134 187.5 20.8<br />Morgan, Raymar Michigan State 45.7 0.5111 210 23.3<br />Suton, Goran Michigan State 45.5 0.5604 229.5 25.5<br />Allen, Chris Michigan State 24.9 0.2067 46.5 5.2<br />Gray, Marquise Michigan State 23.4 0.3775 79.5 8.8<br />Lucas, Kalin Michigan State 40.2 0.2847 103 11.4<br />Summers, D. Michigan State 23.3 0.391 82 9.1<br />Walton, Travis Michigan State 35.6 0.3043 97.5 10.8<br />Naymick, Drew Michigan State 30.9 0.3074 85.5 9.5<br />Dahlman, Isaiah Michigan State 6.8 0 -7 0<br />Herzog, Tom Michigan State 8.9 0.4775 17 4.3<br />Ibok, Idong Michigan State 9.3 0.2074 13.5 1.9<br />Coleman, Dan Minnesota 43.7 0.4041 122.5 17.5<br />Tollackson, S. Minnesota 44.3 0.4368 135.5 19.4<br />McKenzie, L. Minnesota 46.1 0.2929 94.5 13.5<br />Hoffarber, B. Minnesota 30.5 0.5017 107 15.3<br />Westbrook, L. Minnesota 34.9 0.2714 66.5 9.5<br />Johnson, Damien Minnesota 35.5 0.5317 132 18.9<br />Nolen, Al Minnesota 39.5 0.5168 143 20.4<br />Abu-Shamala, J. Minnesota 28.9 0.2368 48 6.9<br />Williams, J. Minnesota 24.2 0.4876 82.5 10.4<br />Payton, Kevin Minnesota 23.7 0.3139 52 7.4<br />Busch, Travis~ Minnesota 5.3 0.0946 1 0.5<br />Moore, Craig Northwestern 58.9 0.4069 192 24<br />Thompson, M. Northwestern 58.8 0.4338 204 25.5<br />Okresik, J. Northwestern 47.1 0.3712 140 17.5<br />Williams, S. Northwestern 45.7 0.3539 129.5 16.2<br />Ryan, Jeff Northwestern 47.3 0.2891 109.5 13.7<br />Capocci, Mike Northwestern 23.9 0.3874 74 9.3<br />Baran, Nikola Northwestern 26.9 0.2023 43.5 5.4<br />Peljusic, Ivan Northwestern 8.6 0 0 0<br />Melchior, J. Northwestern 9.3 0.2471 11.5 2.3<br />Houlihan, P.~ Northwestern 5.4 0.5919 9.5 3.2<br />Coble, Kevin Northwestern 0 0 0 0<br />Koufos, Kosta Ohio State 43.4 0.5481 166.5 23.8<br />Butler, Jamar Ohio State 57.4 0.3883 156 22.3<br />Lighty, David Ohio State 56.7 0.3125 124 17.7<br />Hunter, Othello Ohio State 42.2 0.4586 135.5 19.4<br />Diebler, Jon Ohio State 47.2 0.1151 38 5.4<br />Turner, Evan Ohio State 29.4 0.2696 55.5 7.9<br />Terwiliger, M. Ohio State 22.1 0.2041 31.5 4.5<br />Madsen, Kyle Ohio State 7.1 0.9036 25.5 6.4<br />Hill, PJ Ohio State 10.2 0.3419 21 3.5<br />Lauderdale, D. Ohio State 15.8 0.2959 28 4.7<br />Wallace, Eric Ohio State 10.4 0.1807 7.5 1.9<br />Claxton, Geary Penn State 54.7 0.4202 184 23<br />Cornley, J. Penn State 42.7 0.4635 99 19.8<br />Morrisey, Danny Penn State 34.5 0.3099 85.5 10.7<br />Battle, Talor Penn State 55.9 0.2089 93.5 11.7<br />Walker, Mike Penn State 32.1 0.2361 60.5 7.6<br />Jackson, DJ Penn State 34.3 0.2827 77.5 9.7<br />Leiner, Will~ Penn State 11 0.8636 9.5 9.5<br />Jones, Andrew Penn State 30.5 0.3957 96.5 12.1<br />Pringle, S. Penn State 30.9 0.3698 91.5 10.2<br />Hassell, B. Penn State 28.7 0.4507 103.5 12.9<br />Brooks, Jeff Penn State 28.3 0.1836 41.5 5.2<br />King, Schyler Penn State 7.1 0.2207 11 1.6<br />Suotamo, Jonas Penn State 12 0 0 0<br />Martin, Scott Purdue 46.9 0.3319 109 15.6<br />Moore, E'Twuan Purdue 49.9 0.3035 106 15.1<br />Grant, Keaton Purdue 46.1 0.3185 88 14.7<br />Johnson, JaJuan Purdue 36.5 0.2897 74 10.6<br />Hummel, Robbie Purdue 46.9 0.4598 151 21.6<br />Calasan, N. Purdue 32.7 0.2449 40 8<br />Crump, Tarrance Purdue 33.5 0.1855 43.5 6.2<br />Kramer, Chris Purdue 40.8 0.3551 87 14.5<br />Green, Marcus Purdue 25.3 0.1411 25 3.6<br />Riddell, Bobby Purdue 10.4 0 0 0<br />Reid, Chris Purdue 3.5 0.4796 5 1.7<br />Hughes, Trevon Wisconsin 52.9 0.3902 165 20.6<br />Butch, Brian Wisconsin 44.2 0.3001 106 13.6<br />Flowers, M. Wisconsin 47.6 0.3232 123 15.4<br />Landry, Marcus Wisconsin 45.4 0.3924 142.5 17.8<br />Krabbenhoft, J. Wisconsin 47.9 0.3958 152 19<br />Bohannon, Jason Wisconsin 33.7 0.2729 73.5 9.2<br />Leuer, Jon Wisconsin 21.9 0.3818 67 8.4<br />Stiemsma, Greg Wisconsin 24.5 0.4941 97 12.1<br />Nankivil, K. Wisconsin 7.4 0.4317 22.5 3.2<br />Bronson, Tanner Wisconsin 3.9 0.3033 9.5 1.2<br />Gullikson, K. Wisconsin 11.2 0.1469 11.5 1.6<br />Jarmusz, Tim Wisconsin 3.8 0.2211 5 0.8<br />Gavinski, JP Wisconsin 5.2 0.0239 0.5 0.1<br />Cain, Morris Wisconsin 3.5 0.3951 5.5 1.4<br />Valentyn, Brett Wisconsin 3.9 0.4469 7 1.8Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-85529661796584762092007-03-20T07:45:00.000-07:002007-04-04T13:05:49.952-07:00Final Big Ten Hper Ratings11 teams! 110 players! 16 conference games! <br /><br />To refresh: The <b>HPER productivity rating</b> is a system that uses the box scores to indicate how valuable a player is in getting possessions for his team, taking possessions from the other team, and helping to convert those possessions into points. This helps tell me not just how productive a player is, but how effective for his team he is. I use conference games only.<br /><br /><b>Hper Formula</b><br />Points + Rebounds + Offensive Rebounds + [2 x(Steals+Blocks)] + (2.5 x Assists)<br />- [Missed FGs + (2 x Turnovers) + (Missed FTs/2)]<br /><br />Divide by game for per-game rating (hpg), and divide by individual possession for per-possession rating (hpps). I use Big Ten Wonk's <a href="http://bigtenwonk.blogspot.com/2005/11/this-is-tfs-tempo-free-stats.html">Team</a> & <a href="http://bigtenwonk.blogspot.com/2005/11/individual-possessions-individual.html">Individual </a>possessions determination methods. <br /><br /><b>Key:</b><br />Name (pspg=# of possessions per game they see on the floor) raw HPER total / HPER production per game / HPER production per possession<br /><br /><b>Ohio State (15-1)</b><br />Conley Jr., Mike*.. (50.1 pspg) 424.5 / 26.5 hpg/ .5301 hpps<br />Butler, Jamar...... (47.1 pspg) 100.5 / 14.4 hpg/ .3054 hpps<br />Oden, Greg*........ (46.7 pspg) 427 / 26.7 hpg/ .5709 hpps<br />Lewis, Ron~........ (43.7 pspg) 179 / 11.2 hpg/ .2501 hpps<br />Cook, Daequan*..... (30.9 pspg) 169 / 10.6 hpg/ .3418 hpps<br />Harris, Ivan~...... (30.1 pspg) 149 / 9.3 hpg/ .3091 hpps<br />Hunter, Othello.... (26.9 pspg) 191.5 / 11.9 hpg/ .4446 hpps<br />Lighty, David*..... (18.8 pspg) 25 / 1.6 hpg/ .0833 hpps<br />Terwilliger, Matt.. (13.2 pspg) 42 / 2.6 hpg/ .1986 hpps<br /><br /><b>Wisconsin (13-3)</b><br />Tucker, Alando~..(52.2 pspg) 343 / 21.4 hpg/ .4107 hpps<br />Taylor, Kammron~.(52.1 pspg) 183.5 / 11.5 hpg/ .2201 hpps<br />Flowers, Michael.(48.1 pspg) 285.5 / 17.8 hpg/ .3711 hpps<br />Landry, Marcus...(31.4 pspg) 187.5 / 11.7 hpg/ .3730 hpps<br />Krabbenhoft, Joe.(30.1 pspg) 182 / 11.4 hpg/ .3782 hpps<br />Butch, Brian.....(29.7 pspg) 134 / 8.9 hpg/ .3005 hpps<br />Chappell, Jason..(24.0 pspg) 112.5 / 7.0 hpg/ .2925 hpps<br />Bohannon, Jason*.(19.7 pspg) 58 / 4.1 hpg/ .2103 hpps<br />Stiemsma, Greg...(12.4 pspg) 78.5 / 5.2 hpg/ .4233 hpps<br />Hughes, Trevon*..(9.6 pspg) 25.5 / 2.1 hpg/ .2219 hpps<br />Gullikson, Kevin.(6.9 pspg) 24 / 3.0 hpg/ .4350 hpps<br /><br /><b>Indiana (10-6)</b><br />White, D.J...........(49.9 pspg) 327 / 20.4 hpg/ .4090 hpps<br />Wilmont, Roderick~.. (49.9 pspg) 262 / 16.4 hpg/ .3277 hpps<br />Calloway, Earl~..... (45.6 pspg) 233.5 / 17.9 hpg/ .3941 hpps<br />Bassett, Armon...... (45.6 pspg) 232.5 / 14.5 hpg/ .3190 hpps<br />Stemler, Lance...... (36.4 pspg) 127 / 8.5 hpg/ .2328 hpps<br />Ratliff, A.J........ (35.2 pspg) 190 / 13.6 hpg/ .3860 hpps<br />White, Mike......... (19.9 pspg) 102 / 7.8 hpg/ .3944 hpps<br />Shaw, Joey*......... (19.6 pspg) 88 / 5.5 hpg/ .2807 hpps<br />Suhr, Errek~........ (14.6 pspg) 51.5 / 3.9 hpg/ .2715 hpps<br />Keeling, Xavier*.... (12.4 pspg) 36.5 / 3.0 hpg/ .2451 hpps<br />Allen, Ben.......... (11.4 pspg) 16 / 1.3 hpg/ .1173 hpps<br /><br /><b>Purdue (9-7)</b><br />Teague, David~.......(54.5 pspg) 304 / 19 hpg/ .3486 hpps<br />Landry, Carl~........(50.6 pspg) 362 / 22.6 hpg/ .4471 hpps<br />Kramer, Chris*.......(46.9 pspg) 212.5 / 13.3 hpg/ .2832 hpps<br />Watt, Gordon.........(39.6 pspg) 186.5 / 11.7 hpg/ .2943 hpps<br />Lutz, Chris..........(34.1 pspg) 159.5 / 9.9 hpg/ .2923 hpps<br />Grant, Keaton*.......(30.3 pspg) 64 / 4.0 hpg/ .1320 hpps<br />Crump, Terrance......(28.8 pspg) 116.5 / 7.3 hpg/ .2528 hpps<br />Green, Marcus........(26.6 pspg) 76.5 / 4.8 hpg/ .1797 hpps<br />Vandervieren, Dan*...(11.7 pspg) 16.5 / 2.8 hpg/ .2344 hpps<br />Uchendu, Jonathan*...(9.2 pspg) 10 / 1.1 hpg/ .1202 hpps<br /><br /><b>Illinois (9-7)</b><br />McBride, Rich~...... (50.0 pspg) 171.5 / 10.7 hpg/ .2142 hpps<br />Carter, Warren~..... (48.1 pspg) 287.5 / 17.9 hpg/ .3739 hpps<br />Frazier, Chester.... (43.7 pspg) 193 / 13.8 hpg/ .3153 hpps<br />Pruitt, Shaun....... (42.7 pspg) 234 / 14.6 hpg/ .3427 hpps<br />Randle, Brian....... (41.8 pspg) 166 / 11.9 hpg/ .2838 hpps<br />Smith, Jamar........ (33.5 pspg) 72.5 / 6.0 hpg/ .1801 hpps<br />Brock, Calvin....... (22.4 pspg) 109.5 / 6.8 hpg/ .3052 hpps<br />Meacham, Trent...... (20.1 pspg) 66.5 / 4.2 hpg/ .2071 hpps<br />Arnold, Marcus~..... (11.2 pspg) 34 / 2.3 hpg/ .2032 hpps<br />Carlwell, Brian*.... (9.8 pspg) 32.5 / 2.7 hpg/ .2764 hpps<br /><br /><b>Iowa (9-7)</b><br />Haluska, Adam~..... (56.9 pspg) 370 / 23.1 hpg/ .4063 hpps<br />Smith, Tyler*...... (56.7 pspg) 332 / 20.8 hpg/ .3658 hpps<br />Henderson, Mike~... (40.7 pspg) 102.5 / 6.4 hpg/ .1575 hpps<br />Freeman, Tony...... (37.9 pspg) 273.5 / 17.1 hpg/ .4501 hpps<br />Tate, Cyrus........ (32.5 pspg) 131.5 / 8.2 hpg/ .2529 hpps<br />Gorney, Seth....... (31.1 pspg) 140 / 8.8 hpg/ .2813 hpps<br />Looby, Kurt........ (28.1 pspg) 175 / 10.9 hpg/ .3891 hpps<br />Johnson, Justin.... (27.1 pspg) 102.5 / 6.4 hpg/ .2363 hpps<br />Angle, J.R......... (6.7 pspg) 18 / 1.4 hpg/ .2052 hpps<br /><br /><b>Michigan State (8-8)</b><br />Nietzel, Drew......(55.0 pspg) 293 / 18.3 hpg/ .3329 hpps<br />Walton, Travis.....(48.9 pspg) 263 / 16.4 hpg/ .3360 hpps<br />Morgan, Raymar*....(42.8 pspg) 190 / 12.7 hpg/ .2777 hpps<br />Suton, Goran.......(42.4 pspg) 266.5 / 16.7 hpg / .3931 hpps<br />Naymick, Drew......(33.5 pspg) 189.5 / 11.8 hpg/ .3532 hpps<br />Gray, Marquise.....(26.9 pspg) 146 / 9.1 hpg/ .3394 hpps<br />Joseph, Maurice....(23.7 pspg) 53.5 / 3.3 hpg/ .1414 hpps<br />Dahlman, Isaiah*...(20.9 pspg) -6 / 0 hpg/ 0 hpps<br />Ibok, Idong........(15.8 pspg) 83 / 5.2 hpg/ .3289 hpps<br />Ducre, DeMarcus....(5.2 pspg) 7 / 0.7 hpg/ .1354 hpps<br /><br /><b>Michigan (8-8)</b><br />Harris, Dion~.........(52.9 pspg) 239 / 14.9 hpg/ .2819 hpps<br />Abram, Lester~........(45.7 pspg) 187.5 / 11.7 hpg/ .2564 hpps<br />Smith, Jerret.........(38.7 pspg) 175.5 / 12.5 hpg/ .3240 hpps<br />Sims, Courtney~.......(38.5 pspg) 216.5 / 13.5 hpg/ .3511 hpps<br />Coleman, Ron..........(36.3 pspg) 158.5 / 9.9 hpg/ .2726 hpps<br />Petway, Brent~....... (33.7 pspg) 220.5 / 13.8 hpg/ .4094 hpps<br />Udoh, Ekpe*...........(31.9 pspg) 115.5 / 16.5 hpg/ .3913 hpps<br />Baker, Reed*..........(13.3 pspg) 16 / 1.2 hpg/ .0926 hpps<br />Sims, DeShawn*........(12.3 pspg) 46.5 / 2.9 hpg/ .2356 hpps<br />Shepherd, Jevohn......(10.1 pspg) 27 / 2.3 hpg/ .2234 hpps<br />Price, Kendric*.......(4.6 pspg) 1 / 0.5 hpg/ .2179 hpps<br /><br /><b>Minnesota (3-13)</b><br />McKenzie, Lawrence.....(56.9 pspg) 281.5 / 17.6 hpg/ .3091 hpps<br />Coleman, Dan...........(53.2 pspg) 266.5 / 16.7 hpg/ .3130 hpps<br />Tollackson, Spencer....(41.2 pspg) 88.5 / 9.8 hpg/ .2386 hpps<br />Abu-Shamala, Jamal.....(39.5 pspg) 158.5 / 9.9 hpg/ .2511 hpps<br />Payton, Kevin*.........(33.4 pspg) 111.5 / 7.0 hpg/ .2089 hpps<br />Wilson, Limar..........(32.2 pspg) 66 / 5.5 hpg/ .1707 hpps<br />Williams, Jonathan.....(27.5 pspg) 150 / 10.0 hpg/ .3631 hpps<br />Westbrook, Lawrence*...(19.5 pspg) 3.5 / 0.4 hpg/ .0199 hpps<br />Smith, Brandon.........(19.3 pspg) 101.5 / 7.8 hpg/ .4054 hpps<br />Webster, Bryce*........(17.8 pspg) 60 / 4.0 hpg/ .2242 hpps<br />Johnson, Damian*.......(13.9 pspg) 28 / 1.9 hpg/ .1345 hpps<br /><br /><b>Northwestern (2-14)</b><br />Doyle, Tim~........(49.6 pspg) 296.5 / 18.5 hpg/ .3736 hpps<br />Coble, Kevin*..... (47.3 pspg) 294.5 / 21.0 hpg/ .4446 hpps<br />Scott, Vince~......(38.9 pspg) 165.5 / 10.3 hpg/ .2653 hpps<br />Ryan, Jeff*........(36.2 pspg) 139.5 / 8.7 hpg/ .2407 hpps<br />Moore, Craig.......(28.0 pspg) 88.5 / 5.5 hpg/ .2019 hpps<br />Williams, Sterling.(27.3 pspg) 110 / 6.9 hpg/ .2518 hpps<br />Okrzesik, Jason....(24.5 pspg) 85.5 / 5.3 hpg/ .2178 hpps<br />Nash, Jeremy*......(18.2 pspg) 62.5 / 5.2 hpg/ .2862 hpps<br />Tolic, Ivan........(9.9 pspg) 30 / 1.9 hpg/ .1893 hpps<br /><br /><b>Penn State (2-14)</b><br />Cornley, Jamelle... (56.4 pspg) 304.5 / 19.0 hpg/ .3372 hpps<br />Claxton, Geary..... (53.7 pspg) 340.5 / 21.3 hpg/ .3963 hpps<br />Morrissey, Danny... (36.2 pspg) 187 / 11.7 hpg/ .3228 hpps<br />Jackson, David~.... (35.4 pspg) 161 / 10.1 hpg/ .2847 hpps<br />Luber, Ben~........ (29.6 pspg) 94 / 6.7 hpg/ .2266 hpps<br />Hassell, Brandon... (29.5 pspg) 111 / 7.4 hpg/ .2505 hpps<br />Walker, Mike....... (30.2 pspg) 117 / 7.3 hpg/ .2425 hpps<br />Bogetic, Milos..... (26.4 pspg) 98.5 / 6.2 hpg/ .2334 hpps<br />Suotamo, Joonas.... (10.3 pspg) 22 / 2.0 hpg/ .1939 hpps<br /><br />Senior~<br />Freshmen*Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-45319059007428759272007-03-12T06:54:00.001-07:002007-03-12T06:54:43.014-07:00Let's See if Google Docs works<iframe width='500' height='' frameborder='0'src='http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p6OJDbsNqEn1XcXm2dyFMAA&output=html&gid=0&single=true&widget=true'></iframe>Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-37308613893133154002007-02-15T08:04:00.000-08:002007-02-15T09:09:14.213-08:00Big Ten Games through Feb. 11th:More Hoosier Fun Ball ratings. <br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Name (School) Total / PSPG / HPG /.HPPS</span><br /><br />1. Conley Jr., Mike (Ohio State) 293.5 / 50 / 26.7hpg / 0.5334<br />2. Oden, Greg (Ohio State) 282 / 47.8 /25.6hpg /0.5367<br />3. Smith, Tyler (Iowa) 270 / 57.7 / 24.5hpg / 0.4257<br />4. White, DJ (Indiana) 228 / 49.9 / 22.8hpg /0.4567<br />5. Claxton, Geary (Penn State) 224 / 51.3 / 22.4hpg / 0.4365<br />6. Landry, Carl (Purdue) 242.5 / 49.3 / 22.1hpg / 0.4468<br />7. Tucker, Alando (Wisconsin) 240.5 / 52 / 21.9hpg / 0.4205<br />8. Haluska, Adam (Iowa) 241.5 / 57.8 / 21.9hpg / 0.3798<br />9. Cornley, Jamelle (Penn State)199.5 / 56.6 / 19.9hpg /0.3525<br />10. Teague, David (Purdue)214.5 / 57.7 /19.5hpg /0.3698<br /><br />11. Calloway, Earl (Indiana) 189 / 49 / 18.9hpg / 0.3859<br />12. Coble, Kevin (Northwestern) 167.5 / 43.1 / 18.6hpg / 0.4319<br />13. Carter, Warren (Illinois) 221.5 / 49 / 18.5hpg / 0.3764<br />14. Nietzel, Drew (Michigan State) 184.5 / 57.3 / 18.5hpg / 0.3217<br />15. Walton, Travis (Michigan State) 182.5 / 49.4 / 18.3hpg / 0.3698<br />16. Coleman, Dan (Minnesota) 200.5 / 53.7 / 18.2hpg / 0.3396<br />17. Flowers, Michael (Wisconsin) 189.5 / 47.8 / 17.2hpg / 0.3606<br />18. Butler, Jamar (Ohio State) 184.5 / 49.3 / 16.8hpg / 0.3401<br />19. Harris, Dion (Michigan) 168 / 52.8 / 16.8hpg /0.3185<br />20. Doyle, Tim (Northwestern) 183 / 46.8 / 16.6hpg / 0.3555<br /><br />21. Ratliff, A.J (Indiana) 129 / 32.5 / 16.4hpg / 0.4963<br />22. Suton, Goran (Michigan State) 159 / 43.5 / 15.9hpg / 0.3654<br />23. Udoh, Ekpe (Michigan) 151 / 32.2 / 15.1hpg / 0.4684<br />24. Tollackson, Spencer (Minnesota) 58.5 / 41.5 / 14.6hpg / 0.3523<br />25. Pruitt, Shaun (Illinois) 171.5 / 43.5 / 14.3hpg / 0.3282<br />26. Wilmont, Rod (Indiana) 142.5 / 49.5 / 14.3hpg / 0.2873<br />27. Coleman, Ron (Michigan) 140.5 / 46.6 / 14.1hpg / 0.3016<br />28. Petway, Brent (Michigan) 140 / 31 / 14hpg / 0.4516<br />29. Landry, Marcus (Wisconsin) 148 / 33.8 / 13.5hpg / 0.3978<br />30. Sims, Courtney (Michigan) 135 / 39.9 / 13.5hpg / 0.3379<br /><br />31. Frazier, Chester (Illinois) 134.5 / 40.6 / 13.5hpg / 0.3312<br />32. Hunter, Othello (Ohio State)147 / 28.3 / 13.4hpg / 0.4718<br />33. Taylor, Kammron (Wisconsin) 143 / 52.7 / 13hpg / 0.2467<br />34. Freeman, Tony (Iowa) 142 / 35.1 / 12.9hpg / 0.3673<br />35. Randle, Brian (Illinois) 127 / 40.8 / 12.7hpg / 0.3115<br />36. Gray, Marquise (Michigan State) 125 / 31.7 / 12.5hpg / 0.3947<br />37. Morgan, Raymar (Michigan State) 112.5 / 43.2 / 12.5hpg / 0.2892<br />38. Morrissey, David (Penn State) 123 / 38.4 / 12.3hpg / 0.3205<br />39. Kramer, Chris (Purdue) 132 / 44.9 / 12hpg / 0.2669<br />40. Abram, Lester (Michigan) 118 / 46.3 / 11.8hpg / 0.2550<br /><br />41. Scott, Vince (Northwestern) 128 / 42 / 11.6hpg / 0.2769<br />42. McKenzie, Lawrence (Minnesota) 125 / 56.5 / 11.5hpg / 0.2012<br />43. Williams, Jonathan (Minnesota) 124.5 / 30.9 / 11.3hpg / 0.3664<br />44. Bassett, Armon (Indiana) 111.5 / 43.4 / 11.2hpg / 0.2567<br />45. Watt, Gordon (Purdue) 118 / 38 / 10.7hpg / 0.2821<br />46. Krabbenhoft, Joe (Wisconsin) 115.5 / 30.7 / 10.5hpg / 0.3418<br />47. Jackson, David (Penn State) 105.5 / 33.9 / 10.5hpg / 0.3116<br />48. Abu-Shamala, Jamal (Minnesota) 114.5 / 41.2 / 10.4hpg / 0.2524<br />49. Cook, Daequan (Ohio State) 113.5 / 31.3 / 10.3hpg / 0.3298<br />50. McBride, Rich (Illinois) 122.5 / 49.7 / 10.2hpg / 0.2055<br /><br />51. Butch, Brian (Wisconsin) 111 / 32 / 10.1hpg / 0.3155<br />52. Stemler, Lance (Indiana)99 / 38.7 / 9.9hpg / 0.2560<br />53. Naymick, Drew (Michigan State) 97 / 28.1 / 9.7hpg / 0.3448<br />54. Ryan, Jeff (Northwestern) 104 / 33.5 / 9.5hpg / 0.2823<br />55. Lewis, Ron (Ohio State) 105 / 42.6 / 9.5hpg / 0.2243<br />56. Smith, Jerret (Michigan) 75.5 / 31.2 / 9.4hpg / 0.3021<br />57. Harris, Ivan (Ohio State) 99 / 29.9 / 9hpg / 0.3013<br />58. Chappell, Jason (Wisconsin) 96 / 22.5 / 8.7hpg / 0.3871<br />59. Looby, Kurt (Iowa) 96 / 25.3 / 8.7hpg / 0.3454<br />60. Hassell, Brandon (Penn State) 77 / 30.9 / 8.6hpg / 0.2766<br /><br />61. Tate, Cyrus (Iowa) 91.5 / 31.2 / 8.3hpg / 0.2664<br />62. Payton, Kevin (Minnesota) 90 / 32.8 / 8.2hpg / 0.2491<br />63. Gorney, Seth (Iowa) 84 / 33.3 / 7.6hpg / 0.2296<br />64. Smith, Brandon (Minnesota) 60 / 20.6 / 7.5hpg / 0.3647<br />65. Crump, Terrance (Purdue) 82 / 27.3 / 7.5hpg / 0.2732<br />66. Luber, Ben (Penn State) 75 / 35.9 / 7.5hpg / 0.2085<br />67. White, Mike (Indiana) 66.5 / 19.4 / 7.4hpg / 0.378<br />68. Bogetic, Milos (Penn State) 68 / 27.4 / 6.8hpg / 0.2483<br />69. Williams, Sterling (Northwestern) 73 / 28.4 / 6.6hpg / 0.2341<br />70. Wilson, Limar (Minnesota) 63.5 / 33.7 / 6.4hpg / 0.1886<br /><br />71. Shaw, Joey (Indiana) 61.5 / 19.3 / 6.2hpg / 0.3180<br />72. Johnson, Justin (Iowa) 66.5 / 29.5 / 6hpg / 0.2051<br />73. Smith, Jamar (Illinois) 71.5 / 34.1 / 5.9hpg / 0.1747<br />74. Henderson, Mike (Iowa) 64.5 / 43.7 / 5.9hpg / 0.1398<br />75. Okresik, Jason (Northwestern) 63.5 / 24.7 / 5.8hpg / 0.2336<br />76. Moore, Craig (Northwestern) 64 / 37.5 / 5.8hpg / 0.1551<br />77. Lutz, Chris (Purdue) 63 / 31.5 / 5.7hpg / 0.1817<br />78. Brock, Calvin (Illinois) 67 / 21.6 / 5.6hpg / 0.2587<br />79. Grant, Keaton (Purdue) 60.5 / 30.7 / 5.5hpg / 0.1793<br />80. Walker, Mike (Penn State) 53 / 23.2 / 5.3hpg / 0.2287<br /><br />81. Ibok, Idong (Michigan State) 51 / 16.6 / 5.1hpg / 0.3071<br />82. Nash, Jeremy (Northwestern) 36.5 / 17.9 / 4.6hpg / 0.2543<br />83. Gullikson, Kevin (Wisconsin) 21 / 9.6 / 4.2hpg / 0.4371<br />84. Green, Marcus (Purdue) 46 / 22.5 / 4.2hpg / 0.1861<br />85. Meachem, Trent (Illinois) 46.5 / 21.8 / 3.9hpg / 0.1774<br />86. Keeling, Xavier (Indiana) 29.5 / 13.1 / 3.7hpg / 0.2820<br />87. Bohannon, Jason (Wisconsin) 33 / 19.6 / 3.7hpg / 0.1868<br />88. Sims, DeShawn (Michigan) 35 / 14.5 / 3.5hpg / 0.2414<br />89. Suotamo, Jonas (Penn State) 17 / 9 / 3.4hpg / 0.3765<br />90. Vandervieren, David (Purdue) 20.5 / 11.4 / 3.4hpg / 0.2996<br /><br />91. Shepherd, Jevohn (Michigan) 20 / 10.5 / 3.3hpg / 0.3162<br />92. Webster, Bryce (Minnesota) 31.5 / 18.6 / 3.2hpg / 0.1693<br />93. Joseph, Maurice (Michigan State) 30.5 / 22.6 / 3.1hpg / 0.1349<br />94. Stiemsma, Greg (Wisconsin) 28.5 / 11.3 / 2.9hpg / 0.2519<br />95. Carlwell, Brian (Illinois) 32.5 / 9.9 / 2.7hpg / 0.2719<br />96. Terwiliger, Matt (Ohio State) 29.5 / 11.8 / 2.7hpg / 0.2266<br />97. Hughes, Trevon (Wisconsin) 13.5 / 10.6 / 1.9hpg / 0.1815<br />98. Baker, Reed (Michigan) 14 / 16.9 / 1.7hpg / 0.1031<br />99. Suhr, Errek (Indiana) 11 / 8.4 / 1.6hpg / 0.1876<br />100. Johnson, Damian (Minnesota) 15.5 / 9.8 / 1.6hpg / 0.1575<br /><br />101. Lighty, David (Ohio State) 17.5 / 18.6 / 1.6hpg / 0.0855<br />102. Tolic, Ivan (Northwestern) 14 / 8.1 / 1.4hpg / 0.1719<br />103. Arnold, Marcus (Illinois) 12 / 9.1 / 1.1hpg / 0.1205<br />104. Angle, J.R. (Iowa) 8 / 6.5 / 0.8hpg / 0.1221<br />105. Allen, Ben (Indiana)6 / 8.1 / 0.8hpg / 0.0923<br />106. Ducre, DeMarcus (Michigan State) 5 / 5.2 / 0.6hpg / 0.1204<br />107. Uchendu, Jonathan (Purdue) 3.5 / 9.33 / 0.5hpg / 0.0536<br />108. Westbrook, Lawrence (Minnesota) -5 / 11.4 / 0 / 0<br />109. Dahlmann, Isaiah (Michigan State) -8 / 26.6/ 0 / 0<br />110. DuBois, Maxwell (Penn State) -2 / 3.8 / 0 / 0<br />111. Riddell, Bobby (Purdue) -7 / 4.3 / 0 / 0Indiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2192452151361429613.post-27190554499228595782007-01-31T07:34:00.000-08:002007-01-31T09:29:22.657-08:00Ratings through Jan. 28th, 2006This seemed like the easiest way to post all my calculations without cluttering up my front page. So without further ado, here's the efficiency numbers of every basketball player in the Big Ten conference. <br /><br />Again, to review, I'm using my HPER productivity rating, in which I use the box scores to tell me how valuable a player is in getting possessions for his team, taking possessions from the other team, and helping to convert those possessions into points. This helps tell me not just how productive a player is, but how effective for his team he is. I use conference games only.<br /><br />Key:<br />Name....(# of possessions per game they see on the floor) raw HPER total / HPER production per game = hpg / HPER production per possession = hpps<br /><br />A <a href="http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p6OJDbsNqEn04C8zvCEF-FA">sortable spreadsheet</a> is available through Google Docs.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Indiana (5-2)</span><br />White, D.J................(47.7 pspg) 170 / 24.3 hpg/ .5087 hpps<br />Wilmont, Roderick... (45.8 pspg) 110 / 15.7 hpg/ .3434 hpps<br />Calloway, Earl...... (47.5 pspg) 140 / 20.0 hpg/ .4209 hpps<br />Ratliff, A.J........ (27.7 pspg) 68 / 13.6 hpg/ .4906 hpps<br />Bassett, Armon...... (44.4 pspg) 65 / 9.3 hpg/ .2089 hpps<br />Stemler, Lance...... (40.0 pspg) 89.5 / 12.8 hpg/ .3193 hpps<br />Shaw, Joey.......... (22.0 pspg) 48.5 / 6.9 hpg/ .3149 hpps<br />White, Mike......... (17.7 pspg) 52.5 / 8.8 hpg/ .4941 hpps<br />Keeling, Xavier..... (12.6 pspg) 24 / 4 hpg/ .3181 hpps<br />Suhr, Errek......... (9.5 pspg) 8 / 1.6 hpg/ .1676 hpps<br />Allen, Ben.......... (7.9 pspg) 5 / 0.8 hpg/ .1047 hpps<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Illinois (3-5)</span><br />Carter, Warren...... (51.7 pspg) 137.5 / 17.2 hpg/ .3326 hpps<br />Pruitt, Shaun......... (44.5 pspg) 124 / 15.5 hpg/ .3486 hpps<br />McBride, Rich....... (47.6 pspg) 62 / 7.8 hpg/ .1629 hpps<br />Smith, Jamar........ (36.3 pspg) 32.5 / 4.1 hpg/ .1120 hpps<br />Randle, Brian....... (46.5 pspg) 83.5 / 13.9 hpg/ .2990 hpps<br />Frazier, Chester.... (41.5 pspg) 95 / 13.6 hpg/ .3274 hpps<br />Meacham, Trent...... (23.2 pspg) 35.5 / 4.4 hpg/ .1912 hpps<br />Brock, Calvin....... (23.2 pspg) 31.5 / 3.9 hpg/ .1699 hpps<br />Carlwell, Brian..... (9.4 pspg) 28.5 / 3.6 hpg/ .3806 hpps<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Iowa (3-4)</span><br />Haluska, Adam...... (55.2 pspg) 121 / 17.3 hpg/ .3131 hpps<br />Smith, Tyler....... (55.2 pspg) 152.5 / 21.8 hpg/ .3946 hpps<br />Henderson, Mike.... (46.3 pspg) 46.5 / 6.6 hpg/ .1436 hpps<br />Gorney, Seth....... (28.6 pspg) 58.5 / 8.4 hpg/ .2924 hpps<br />Tate, Cyrus........ (30.1 pspg) 72.5 / 10.4 hpg/ .3439 hpps<br />Freeman, Tony...... (28.4 pspg) 60.5 / 8.6 hpg/ .3047 hpps<br />Looby, Kurt........ (27.3 pspg) 84.5 / 12.1 hpg/ .4426 hpps<br />Johnson, Justin.... (27.9 pspg) 39.5 / 5.6 hpg/ .2020 hpps<br />Angle, J.R......... (6.8 pspg) 3.5 / 0.5 hpg/ .0735 hpps<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;"><br />Michigan (4-3)</span><br />Harris, Dion........ ..(50.1 pspg) 124.5 / 17.8 hpg/ .3552 hpps<br />Abram, Lester....... (47.3 pspg) 103.5 / 14.8 hpg/ .3129 hpps<br />Sims, Courtney......(35.3 pspg) 82.5 / 11.8 hpg/ .3335 hpps<br />Udoh, Ekpe.......... .(31.9 pspg) 115.5 / 16.5 hpg/ .5178 hpps<br />Coleman, Ron........(45.1 pspg) 102.5 / 14.6 hpg/ .3247 hpps<br />Petway, Brent....... (33.6 pspg) 92 / 13.1 hpg/ .3911 hpps<br />Smith, Jerret....... ..(29.3 pspg) 50 / 8.3 hpg/ .2840 hpps<br />Baker, Reed......... .(16.9 pspg) 16 / 2.3 hpg/ .1352 hpps<br />Sims, DeShawn.....(14.1 pspg) 25 / 3.6 hpg/ .2535 hpps<br />Shepherd, Jevohn...(6.4 pspg) 3.5 / 0.9 hpg/ .1175 hpps<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan State (4-3)</span><br />Nietzel, Drew...... ..(56.1 pspg) 160.5 / 22.9 hpg/ .4087 hpps<br />Morgan, Raymar....(39.8 pspg) 91.5 / 15.3 hpg/ .3833 hpps<br />Suton, Goran....... ..(42.2 pspg) 120 / 17.1 hpg/ .4058 hpps<br />Gray, Marquise..... (33.2 pspg) 105 / 15 hpg/ .4515 hpps<br />Joseph, Maurice.... (21.1 pspg) 33 / 4.7 hpg/ .2232 hpps<br />Walton, Travis..... .(50.4 pspg) 131.5 / 18.8 hpg/ .3729 hpps<br />Naymick, Drew..... (27.9 pspg) 73.5 / 10.5 hpg/ .3758 hpps<br />Ibok, Idong............ (16.7 pspg) 36 / 5.1 hpg/ .3076 hpps<br />Ducre, DeMarcus...(5.4 pspg) 7 / 1.2 hpg/ .2165 hpps<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Minnesota (2-5)</span><br />Lawrence McKenzie… (56.1 pspg) 53.5 / 7.6 hpg/ .1363 hpps<br />Dan Coleman……….. (54.8 pspg) 129.5 / 18.5 hpg/ .3378 hpps<br />Spencer Tollackson…. (38.9 pspg) 26.5 / 13.3 hpg/ .3402 hpps<br />Jamal Abu-Shamala…. (42.9 pspg) 75 / 10.7 hpg/ .2492 hpps<br />Kevin Payton………... (30.8 pspg) 52.5 / 7.5 hpg/ .2438 hpps<br />Jonathan Williams….. (29.5 pspg) 71.5 / 10.2 hpg/ .3467 hpps<br />Limar Wilson……….. (33.6 pspg) 12 / 2 hpg/ .0595 hpps<br />Brandon Smith…….. (21.1 pspg) 21.5 / 5.4 hpg/ .2559 hpps<br />Bryce Webster……… (19.9 pspg) 23.5 / 3.4 hpg/ .1691 hpps<br />Damian Johnson………(12.2 pspg) 6.5 / 1.1 hpg/ .0887 hpps<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Northwestern (1-6)</span><br />Kevin Coble……. (39.3 pspg) 68.5 / 13.7 hpg/ .3483 hpps<br />Tim Doyle……….(47.9 pspg) 107.5 / 15.4 hpg/ .3201 hpps<br />Craig Moore…….(45.3 pspg) 53 / 7.6 hpg/ .1671 hpps<br />Vince Scott……….(44.3 pspg) 97.5 / 13.9 hpg/ .3143 hpps<br />Sterling Williams…(31.3 pspg) 53.5 / 7.6 hpg/ .2445 hpps<br />Jeff Ryan …………(30.9 pspg) 64 / 9.1 hpg/ .2962 hpps<br />Jason Okrzesik……(20.6 pspg) 30 / 4.3 hpg/ .2083 hpps<br />Jeremy Nash ……...(13.9 pspg) 28 / 4.7 hpg/ .3369 hpps<br />Ivan Tolic………….(8.7 pspg) 12 / 1.7 hpg/ .1969 hpps<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Ohio State (6-1)</span><br />Oden, Greg......... (51.1 pspg) 198 / 28.3 hpg/ .5539 hpps<br />Cook, Daequan...... (31.6 pspg) 99 / 14.1 hpg/ .4469 hpps<br />Lewis, Ron......... (43.7 pspg) 56 / 8.0 hpg/ .1831 hpps<br />Harris, Ivan....... (32.4 pspg) 91.5 / 13.1 hpg/ .4029 hpps<br />Conley Jr., Mike... (48.1 pspg) 197 / 28.1 hpg/ .5849 hpps<br />Butler, Jamar...... (47.1 pspg) 100.5 / 14.4 hpg/ .3054 hpps<br />Hunter, Othello.... (26.5 pspg) 80.5 / 11.5 hpg/ .4342 hpps<br />Lighty, David...... (19.2 pspg) 4 / 0.6 hpg/ .0298 hpps<br />Terwilliger, Matt.. (7.7 pspg) 4 / 0.6 hpg/ .0739 hpps<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Penn State (1-6)</span><br />Claxton, Geary..... (52.6 pspg) 161.5 / 23.1 hpg/ .4387 hpps<br />Cornley, Jamelle... (56.7 pspg) 137 / 19.6 hpg/ .3349 hpps<br />Morrissey, Danny... (42.1 pspg) 105.5 / 15.1 hpg/ .3579 hpps<br />Jackson, David..... (35.1 pspg) 88 / 12.6 hpg/ .3578 hpps<br />Hassell, Brandon... (32.5 pspg) 74.5 / 10.6 hpg/ .3269 hpps<br />Luber, Ben......... (34.9 pspg) 56.5 / 8.1 hpg/ .2312 hpps<br />Walker, Mike....... (21.2 pspg) 31 / 4.4 hpg/ .2092 hpps<br />Bogetic, Milos..... (25.7 pspg) 36 / 5.1 hpg/ .1997 hpps<br />Suotamo, Joonas.... (4.1 pspg) 4 / 1.3 hpg/ .3273 hpps<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Purdue (3-4)</span><br />Landry, Carl……….(46.9 pspg) 163.5 / 23.4 hpg/ .4985 hpps<br />Teague, David……..(50.8 pspg) 139.5 / 19.9 hpg/ .3924 hpps<br />Watt, Gordon………(43.6 pspg) 92 / 13.1 hpg/ .3017 hpps<br />Kramer, Chris……..(44.9 pspg) 82 / 11.7 hpg/ .2611 hpps<br />Grant, Keaton……..(33.3 pspg) 28.5 / 4.1 hpg/ .1223 hpps<br />Crump, Terrance….(25.2 pspg) 32 / 4.6 hpg/ .1816 hpps<br />Green, Marcus…….(21.9 pspg) 21.5 / 3.1 hpg/ .1403 hpps<br />Lutz, Chris………..(26.1 pspg) 20 / 2.9 hpg/ .1097 hpps<br />Vandervieren, Dan.. (11.2 pspg) 20.5 / 3.4 hpg/ .3041 hpps<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Wisconsin (7-0)</span><br />Tucker, Alando……(50.6 pspg) 131.5 / 18.8 hpg/ .3715 hpps<br />Taylor, Kammron… (54.8 pspg) 91 / 13.0 hpg/ .2373 hpps<br />Butch, Brian …….(31.7 pspg) 71.5 / 10.2 hpg/ .3221 hpps<br />Flowers, Michael…(45.2 pspg) 125 / 17.9 hpg/ .3947 hpps<br />Landry, Marcus ….(33.3 pspg) 99 / 14.1 hpg/ .4251 hpps<br />Krabbenhoft, Joe…(32.6 pspg) 58 / 8.3 hpg/ .2541 hpps<br />Chappell, Jason….(26.6 pspg) 69.5 / 9.9 hpg/ .3731 hpps<br />Stiemsma, Greg….(12.6 pspg) 27.5 / 3.9 hpg/ .3108 hpps<br />Bohannon, Jason….(12.1 pspg) 9 / 1.8 hpg/ .1486 hpps<br />Hughes, Trevon ….(13.4 pspg) 17 / 3.4 hpg/ .2547 hpps<br />Gullikson, Kevin….(7.8 pspg) 3 / 1.0 hpg/ .1288 hpps<br /><br /><br />There are a few players that have zero/negative scores, and/or have played too little to be accurately assessed.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Illinois</span><br />Arnold, Marcus...... (8.7 pspg) -2 / NA hpg/ NA hpps<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan</span><br />Kendric Price....... .(3.1 pspg) 2 / 2.0 hpg/ .6589 hpps ~NA<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Michigan State</span><br />Dahlman, Isaiah.... (26.6 pspg) -8.5 / NA hpg/ NA hpps<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Minnesota</span><br />Lawrence Westbrook…. (11.3 pspg) -5 / NA hpg/ NA hpps<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Ohio State</span><br />Titus, Mark........ (2.3 pspg) 2 / 1 hpg/ .4315 hpps ~NA<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Penn State</span><br />Obradovic, Nikola.. (3.1 pspg) 0 / NA hpg/ NA hpps<br />Scovill, Clay...... (1.5 pspg) 2 / 1 hpg/ .6547 hpps ~NA<br />Leiner, Will....... (1.5 pspg) -2 / NA hpg/ NA hpps<br />Dubois, Maxwell.... (3.8 pspg) -2 / NA hpg/ NA hpps<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Purdue</span><br />Uchendu, Jonathan.. (6.6 pspg) -0.5 / NA hpg/ NA hpps<br />Riddell, Bobby……(4.6 pspg) -3 / NA hpg/ NA hpps<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">Wisconsin</span><br />Bronson, Tanner….(3.1 pspg) -1 / NA hpg/ NA hpps<br />Cain, Morris………(2.3 pspg) 1 / 0.3 hpg/ .2147 hpps ~NAIndiana Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12417390248974839148noreply@blogger.com0