School notes & Top Tens

A little bit of breaking down of the individual player rating stats I crunched, and what it all might mean. I'll list my school-by-school notes, and then the top tens.

Illinois
Jaw-droppingly good! Demetri McCamey is playing very well despite a position switch, and seemingly out of nowhere Bill Cole is contributing good minutes.
I'm concerned... The freshmen wings have pretty low per-possession ratings, but that's pretty standard. What worries me is Dominique Keller's sudden decline in effectiveness and in minutes.
I can haz more PT? Tyler Griffey is posting some very efficient numbers in his limited PT so far. Look to hear his name more and more.

Indiana
Jaw-droppingly good! Verdell Jones maintaining his effective performance despite increased usage bears mention here. Otherwise, it's Bobby Capobianco's surprisingly effective play off the bench that's the biggest positive.
I'm concerned... Despite Jordan Hulls' low rating, I'm not concerned about him. He's effectively replacing Matt Roth's contributions, who would be playing those minutes instead of Creek should they not both be injured. No, I'm concerned about Tom Pritchard, who has spiralled ever lower since the beginning of Big Ten play a year ago. He looks good out there sometimes, just not statistically.
I can haz more PT? Really, Capobianco & Derek Elston, even with their just average performances, are better per-possession than Pritchard & Watford.

Iowa
Jaw-droppingly good! Aaron Fuller is off to a hot start, certainly, but Andrew Brommer is showing a rare streak of effectiveness heretofore unseen.
I'm concerned... Matt Gatens appears to be getting overwhelmed. I don't fault him, But Jarryd Cole, Eric May, and Cully Payne aren't helping anything. And Brennan Cougill has taken a real nosedive, too.
I can haz more PT? Um, besides Brommer and Fuller, John Lickliter (Lil' Lick) and Devan Bawinkel have played okay so far, which better than the rest of the team.

Michigan
Jaw-droppingly good! Darius Morris. I watched him in two of these games, and I was not impressed. But he's putting up the numbers.
I'm concerned... Stu Douglass is playing a lot of minutes, and despite a nice game at Indiana, has not been playing well.
I can haz more PT? Morris for Douglass. Prtetty straightforward. Everyone else is playing as expected, but frehsman shooter Matt Vogrich and (of course) Zack Gibson deserve a few more possessions each game, surely.

Michigan State
Jaw-droppingly good! Draymond Green. I've been suggesting for a while that Green should get more minutes, but I didn't foresee Dancing Bear becoming the cream of the crop so fast. Also, Raymar Morgan is playing pretty well, and deserves some recognition for it.
I'm concerned... Kalin Lucas has turned in a merely average start, but hey, he had a great pre-season and MSU is still 5-0. The real concern here is Delvon Roe has regressed at a time when he should be moving forward.
I can haz more PT? There's not much to go onat this point, but it keeps looking to me like Tom Herzog adds more than Derrick Nix or Garrick Sherman. MSU watchers- does this correlate with what you've seen?

Minnesota
Jaw-droppingly good! Damian Johnson is putting together another great year, but what really flipped me was how well Devron Bostick is doing right out of the gate. This kid can play, and I find it hard to believe Tubby can only find 17 possessions a game for Bostick when this team is struggling.
I'm concerned... The really poor performance here is being turned in by reserve center Colton Iverson, who was looking last season like he might challenge Ralph Sampson for the starting spot. But another, perhaps bigger, concern is that Lawrence Westbrook hasn't been playing very well, and has regressed slightly from last season.
I can haz more PT? Bostick, Sampson, and Paul Carter all need to get more minutes, and Tubby needs some more quality wins if the Gophers are going to make into the NCAAs again.

Northwestern
Jaw-droppingly good! Luka Mirkovic has quietly put together a stellar performance, currently ranking as the conference's most efficiently productive center. I thought he'd be good, but after a mediocre pre-season, he's taken off.
I'm concerned... Jeremy Nash has really crash-landed, and outside of reserve Davide Curletti's pure incompetence, has the lowest rating on the team.
I can haz more PT? Mmm, not too much to do here. If Nash continues to struggle, than maybe Carmody should try to develop frosh Alex Marcotullio a little more.

Ohio State
Jaw-droppingly good! William Buford probably fits this description, getting a lot of usage and delivering. Evan Turner's been better than expected at this point (on the court and playing well), but not at the amazing level he was playing at before he got hurt.
I'm concerned... Outside of those two, and PJ Hill, there's very few players with any kind of efficiency on this team. I also expected more of Zisis Sarikoupolis, who has done literally nothing with his minutes so far.
I can haz more PT? Uh, PJ Hill could see a few more minutes, and while his sample size is very small, Nikola Kecman seems like he could contribute more, if given a chance.

Penn State
Jaw-droppingly good! Tim Frazier actually has been pretty decent for a freshman point guard, but overall, I'm pretty surprised how good the ratings are for most of the players on this awful team. How are they playing decently and yet still are 0-6?
I'm concerned... Well, one answer is the interior play has been dreadful. Noone down low can manufacture any offense (altho' Ott might be showing signs of life), and freshman Bill Edwards has been getting a fair amount of usage while not being very good. But the real standout for poor achievement has been Andrew Jones. His NIT championship-game performance seems years away now, as he is probably the worst starting center in the conference.
I can haz more PT? Ott and Frazier certainly could use a few more minutes, and it would look like Cameron Woodyard should be getting some minutes on the wing, too, as long as his shooting is not still ice-cold.

Purdue
Jaw-droppingly good! Robbie Hummel. Dang, this kid is good. E'Twuann Moore is also looking more like the player he was as a freshman rather than mediocre version that showed up last season.
I'm concerned... The freshmen have been pretty awful, as Byrd & Bade aren't contributing anything, and Barlow's rating is pretty low. But honestly I'm even more concerned about JaJuan Johnson's drop from the Big Ten's best center to merely middle-of-the-pack. Can he and Hummel not both be excellent in the same season?
I can haz more PT? Squeeze those starters until they pop, coach Painter- you ain't got noone else. (Although Painter did break out reserve guard John Hart against Illinois, so maybe he'll have some sort of bench after all)

Wisconsin
Jaw-droppingly good! Jason Bohannon, for a pure shooter, is turning a great performance so far. Really commendable. Also, Jordan Taylor, who didn't show much last season, is part of a three-guard lineup that is prospering.
I'm concerned... Tim Jarmusz is really not stepping up, at a time when his outside shooting and height could be a real asset. Also, Keaton Nankivil's performance seems to be dipping at a time when the Badgers need him the most.
I can haz more PT? Mike Bruesewitz, in just 9 possessions a game, is posting the 12th-best average in the conference. I'd say to find some minutes for this guy, especially if Leuer isn't coming back soon. But Bo knows best, I suppose.

Top Ten Players
F- Green, Draymond (43.1) 28.3 / .6576
F- Hummel, Robbie (58.4) 32.3 / .5529
C- Mirkovic, Luka (42.4) 22.9 / .5396
PG- McCamey, Demetri (56.8) 28.3 /.4981
SG- Harris, Manny (55.7) 25.7 / .4617

PF- Johnson, Damian (42.9) 22.5 /.5235
SF- Morgan, Raymar (42.4) 20.2 / .4767
C- Sims, DeShawn (56.9) 26.7 / .4691
SG- Bohannon, Jason (55.5) 20.6 / .3711
PG- Turner, Evan (49.8) 23.1 / .4648

Freshmen Fifteen
PF- Watford, Christian (50.2) 12.5 / .2691
SF- Crawford, Drew (48.3) 17.5 / .3622
C- Capobianco, Bobby (20.2) 5.9 / .2921
SG- Richardson, DJ (51.4) 11.5 / .2239
PG- Morris, Darius (36.2) 15.8 / .4369

F- Bruesewitz, Mike (9.1) 4.1 / .4529
F- Evans, Ryan (20.4) 6.0 / .2935
C- Griffey, Tyler (11.5) 5.0 / .4323
G- Frazier, Tim (27.7) 8.5 / .3069
PG- Lickliter, John (20.7) 6.0 / .2902

PF- Elston, Derek (19.6) 5.5 / .2813
SF- Williams, Rodney (15.9) 3.6 / .2868
C- Nix, Derrick (14.5) 3.2 / .2214
SG- Vogrich, Matt (7.5) 3.3 / .4372
PG- Cobb, Justin (21.8) 5.7 / .2604

Early Per-Possession Player Ratings

A very early version of my per-possession rating system is out. This is for the conference games only, and even though its just a third of the way through the conference season, I thought it'd be fun to crunch some numbers. As usual, the where and the why can be found here. The numbers are listed in this order:

Last Name, First Name (individual possessions per game) effective production per game / effective production per possession

Illinois (4-1)
McCamey, Demetri (56.8) 28.3 /.4981
Tisdale, Mike (51.4) 22.5 / .4381
Davis, Mike (49.4) 13.6 / .3439
Richardson, DJ (51.4) 11.5 / .2239
Paul, Brandon (21.8) 4.1 / .1878
Cole, Bill (38.8) 11.2 / .2884
Jordan, Jeff (28.2) 6.7 / .2372
Keller, Dominique (18.9) 4.2 / .2218
Griffey, Tyler (11.5) 5.0 / .4323
Semrau, Richard (7.3) 2.5 / .3419

Indiana (2-3)
Jones, Verdell (56.1) 19.1 / .3408
Rivers, Jeremiah (54.7) 16.0 / .2923
Watford, Christian (50.2) 12.5 / .2691
Hulls, Jordan (53.1) 10.2 / .1921
Pritchard, Tom (35.8) 4.4 / .1228
Dumes, Devan (28.7) 7.2 / .2511
Elston, Derek (19.6) 5.5 / .2813
Capobianco, Bobby (20.2) 5.9 / .2921
Moore, Daniel (12.4) 3.0 /.2423

Iowa (1-4)
Fuller, Aaron (46.8) 17.4 / .3715
Gatens, Matt (58.1) 10.4 / .1789
Payne, Cully (48.1) 5.4 / .1122
Cole, Jarryd (36.5) 7.5 / .2055
May, Eric (58.1) 10.7 / .2012
Lickliter, John (20.7) 6.0 / .2902
Bawinkel, Devan (21.9) 6.7 / .3051
Brommer, Andrew (16.6) 7.3 / .4379
Cougill, Brennan (18.4) 1.2 / .0978

Michigan (3-2)
Harris, Manny (55.7) 25.7 / .4617
Sims, DeShawn (56.9) 26.7 / .4691
Novak, Zach (54.1) 13.4 / .2477
Douglass, Stu (50.9) 10.1 / .1982
Laval-Perry, Lucas (37.4) 9.4 / .2511
Morris, Darius (36.2) 15.8 / .4369
Vogrich, Matt (7.5) 3.3 / .4372
Gibson, Zack (6.3) 2.8 / .4452
Wright, Anthony (11.4) 0 / 0

Michigan State (5-0)
Green, Draymond (43.1) 28.3 / .6576
Morgan, Raymar (42.4) 20.2 / .4767
Lucas, Kalin (52.9) 14.9 / .2817
Allen, Chris (45.9) 14.6 / .3175
Roe, Delvon (33.5) 8.4 / .2509
Summers, Durrell (40.7) 11.5 / .2823
Nix, Derrick (14.5) 3.2 / .2214
Lucious, Korie (34.8) 10.6 / .3044
Sherman, Gerrick (7.9) 1.0 / .1268
Thornton, Austin (7.4) 0 /0

Minnesota (3-3)
Johnson, Damian (42.9) 22.5 /.5235
Nolen, Al (44.4) 16.7 / .3551
Sampson, Ralph (35.6) 17.0 / .4781
Hoffarber, Blake (47.1) 16.5 / .3502
Westbrook, Lawrence (44.1) 11.7 / .2647
Carter, Paul (23.4) 8.8 / .3772
Williams, Rodney (15.9) 3.6 / .2868
Iverson, Colton (28.7) 5.5 / .1919
Joseph, Devoe (28.1) 9.0 / .3321
Bostick, Devron (16.8) 9.4 / .5589
Cobb, Justin (21.8) 5.7 / .2604

Northwestern (2-3)
Shurna, John (61.1) 23.5 / .3851
Mirkovic, Luka (42.4) 22.9 / .5396
Thompson, Michael (62.6) 18.3 / .2925
Crawford, Drew (48.3) 17.5 / .3622
Nash, Jeremy (55.1) 10.3 / .1868
Marcotullio, Alex (24.5) 4.8 /.1962
Rowley, Kyle (15.8) 3.4 / .2152
Curletti, Davide (7.5) 0 / 0

Ohio State (3-3)
Turner, Evan (49.8) 23.1 / .4648
Buford, William (58.9) 20.8 / .3541
Lighty, David (55.6) 14.1 / .2546
Diebler, Jon (58.9) 13.0 / .2209
Lauderdale, Dallas (41.7) 8.6 / .2057
Hill, PJ (25.1) 8.7 / .3479
Simmons, Jeremie (21.1) 3.1 / .1459
Madsen, Kyle (19.8) 2.1 / .1052
Sarikopoulis, Zizis (7.2) 0 / 0
Kecman, Nikola (5.4) 1.6 / .3115

Penn State (0-5)
Battle, Talor (58.1) 19.9 / .3408
Jackson, David (46.4) 13.5 / .2912
Babb, Chris (44.5) 12.7 / .2851
Brooks, Jeff (33.4) 10.1 /.3023
Jones, Andrew (34.9) 3.9 /.1117
Edwards, Bill (25.9) 5.6 / .2163
Frazier, Tim (27.7) 8.5 / .3069
Woodyard, Cameron (16.1) 5.5 / .3426
Ott, Andrew (18.9) 5.0 / .2637
Highberger, Adam (6.0) 0 / 0

Purdue (2-3)
Hummel, Robbie (58.4) 32.3 / .5529
Moore, E'Twuann (55.4) 22.6 / .4076
Johnson, JaJuan (50.2) 17.1 / .3409
Kramer, Chris (48.2) 13.9 / .2885
Grant, Keaton (36.3) 7.6 / .2094
Barlow, Kelsey (24.8) 4.5 / .1818
Smith, Ryne (27.7) 2.0 / .0722
Wohlford, Mark (8.3) 1.9 / .2273
Byrd, DJ (12.9) 0 / 0
Bade, Patrick (9.6) 1.6 / .1672

Wisconsin (4-2)
Bohannon, Jason (55.5) 20.6 / .3711
Hughes, Trevon (49.6) 18.1 / .3643
Taylor, Jordan (43.6) 15.5 / .3559
Leuer, Jon (38.7) 12.5 / .3231
Nankivil, Keaton (38.8) 9.6 / .2468
Jarmusz, Tim (39.9) 6.1 / .1524
Evans, Ryan (20.4) 6.0 / .2935
Wilson, Rob (13.9) 3.9 / .2824
Bruesewitz, Mike (9.1) 4.1 / .4529

Overall-
Mean HPPS
.2846
Median HPPS
.2868
Mean HPPG
10.4
Median HPPG
9.0