Per-Possession Efficiency Breakdown 2010

A little bit of breaking down of the individual player rating stats I crunched, and what it all might mean. I'll list my school-by-school notes, and then the top tens.

Illinois
Jaw-droppingly good! Demetri McCamey played very well despite the position switch and the loss of Meachem and Frazier. He's the best point guard in the conference, and that's saying a lot. Hey, Illini fans- do you still wish you'd gotten Eric Gordon instead of McCamey?
I'm concerned... I really think it was pretty outrageous that DJ Richardson got the Freshman of the Year award. His per-possession efficiency was 89th out of 117 players, and it was well below Christian Watford's efficiency rating to boot. Were the only criteria three-point and free-throw shooting?
I can haz more PT? Tyler Griffey posted some very efficient numbers in his limited time so far. He'll get more PT next season.

Indiana
Jaw-droppingly good! Well, there wasn't a lot of that this season. Verdell Jones maintaining his effective performance despite increased usage bears mention here. Otherwise, it's Derek Elston & Bobby Capobianco's surprisingly effective play off the bench that's the biggest positive.
I'm concerned...Jordan Hulls' had a very low rating that despite his outburst against Northwestern, declined as the season went on. Tom Pritchard wasn't great, but actually bounced back statistically in the second half of the Big Ten season. Also, Devan Dumes had a poor showing in his final season.
I can haz more PT? Capobianco & Elston really need more time on the floor if Watford and Pritchard continue to struggle next season. Mostly, the Hoosiers' hopes pivot on a full recovery by Maurice Creek.

Iowa
Jaw-droppingly good! Aaron Fuller had an amazing year, really, and will be missed. Centers Jarryd Cole and Andrew Brommer also showed some efficiency I didn't expect.
I'm concerned... Matt Gatens had a bad year, but Cully Payne can't continue to be the answer at point unless he makes some real improvements. Brennan Cougill bounced back from a bad showing in conference play, but he won't be returning for a year.
I can haz more PT? Um, Cole and Brommer are going to get more minutes, as the interior depth will be even shallower next season for new coach McCaffrey. The numbers don't really favor anyone else, but I think Eric May & Matt Gatens are going to be better next season.

Michigan
Jaw-droppingly good! DeShawn Sims. He's was Michigan's best player and everyone knew it, but he kept up his numbers with a very good efficiency rating. Manny Harris pretty obviously had his eye on the NBA all season, and it resulted in a disappointing regression in 2010.
I'm concerned... Stu Douglass and Laval Lucas-Perry got plenty of minutes, and but were pretty poor in efficiency. Also, I can't believe that Anthony Wright got about the same amount of time Zack Gibson. It actually makes me start to question if my esteem of coach Beilien is too high.
I can haz more PT? Matt Vogrich had surprisingly good numbers for a rookie and a shooter. And Darius Morris did a fine job for a freshman point. This could be Michigan's starting backcourt for a while.


Michigan State
Jaw-droppingly good! Draymond Green. Simply the best per-possession player in the conference, and a very, very large part of MSU's injury-hobbled run to the Final Four. Raymar Morgan had a great senior year. I have every confidence that he'll make it onto an NBA roster very soon.
I'm concerned... There's not a lot of quality backcourt depth here. I know Korie Lucious had a good run in the tournament, but his conference play was not great. And with Lucas being somewhat fragile, the freshmen wings are really going to have be reliable in their first season.
I can haz more PT? The one name on the roster that has really impressed me efficiency-wise is Delvon Roe. Of course Draymond Green leads the conference and should get more PT, but Roe had a great conference season after an auspicious start. And his ability to hold down the middle was another key to MSU's postseason success. Next season, Delvon Roe may finally be the dominant post player he was projected to be when he first arrived at MSU.

Minnesota
Jaw-droppingly good! Damian Johnson did a really great job of being effective without scoring a lot of points, and Ralph Sampson is blossoming at center. I'm not sure he's NBA-worthy just yet, but he's getting there.
I'm concerned... Actually, the numbers here are all really solid. Only the departed Justin Cobbs was below average. Bryant Allen probably shouldn't get picked on for his garbage time performance, but still, registering zeros ain't good.
I can haz more PT? Al Nolen needs to get eligible. Rodney Williams also has sterling per-possession stats, and more minutes would remove all doubts about his abilities. He'll get those minutes next season, there's not much depth on the wing otherwise.

Northwestern
Jaw-droppingly good! John Shurna had a great year, and if he continues to improve, NU has a great shot at the NCAA's for the first time ever. Luka Mirkovic is shockingly in the thick of it for the Big Ten's best center. Also, Jeremy Nash had a very strong final season after a rough start in conference play.
I'm concerned... Michael "Juice" Thompson was formerly an also-ran in the Big Ten's best point-guard discussion, but he seems to be fading with more minutes. Also, Alex Marcotullio seems like a natural fit for the starting off-guard spot next season, given his steal and shooting numbers, but his other numbers really detract from his overall efficiency. I'm not sure if he hack it.
I can haz more PT? I've been a Mike Capocci fan for a while, so it'd be great to see him get some more minutes. Other than that, though, I think Carmody's going to give the should-have-been-freshman-of-the-year Drew Crawford as many minutes as he can shoulder next season. There are good things to look forward to next season despite the apparent abrupt loss of Kevin Coble. Reserve center-forward David Curletti improved throughout the year and senior Jeff Ryan finally returns after finding a niche as a highly effective reserve.

Ohio State
Jaw-droppingly good! Only one player really fits this description, truly, and it is Evan Turner. However, William Buford also had a nice year, getting a lot of usage and delivering. Buford will be the star next year, unless one of the freshman *cough*Sullinger*cough* supplants him.
I'm concerned... Jon Diebler got a ton of minutes while not doing anything other hitting threes, which is valuable, I'll admit, but he really didn't contribute anything else.
I can haz more PT? The only returning bench player, Nikola Kecman, saw very few minutes, but has decent enough numbers that I'd still like to see what he could contribute, if given a chance.

Penn State
Jaw-droppingly good! Talor Battle is, of course, very good, and actually seemed to get a lot more effective as the year wore on. The player that really surprised me, tho, was Jeff Brooks. How was he so efficient that he looks like the top returning small forward next season?
I'm concerned... Andrews Jones and Ott were not great. Post play looms as a possible weakness again next season.
I can haz more PT? Tim Frazier had a pretty good year for a freshman point guard. He and Jeff Brooks will probably see more minutes next year. Otherwise, Battle and David Jackson will rely on the freshmen to help turn this club around.

Purdue
Jaw-droppingly good! Robbie Hummel. He's definitely my pick for 2011 Big 10 Player of the Year. E'Twuann Moore and JaJuan Johnson are also quite good, which is great news for Coach Painter's 2010-2011 year.
I'm concerned... The freshmen class was disappointing overall. Patrick Bade didn't contribute anything, and DJ Byrd was truly terrible during the conference season. Kelsey Barlow's rating was pretty low, but rebounded to a point where he might be a starter next season.
I can haz more PT? Lewis Jackson's return really helped the depth of this club, and he'll probably see starter's minutes next year. However, the incoming freshmen are going to have to be relied upon- Hummel, Johnson, and Moore can't do it all for the entire season.

Wisconsin
Jaw-droppingly good! Jordan Taylor's growth was an integral part of an excellent three-guard lineup. His ability to play defense and point guard will be essential to the Badger's success next season.
I'm concerned... There wasn't a lot of quality depth here last season, and I'm not sure who replaces Trevon Hughes and Jason Bohannon's contributions on the wings. Ryan Evans and Rob Wilson are both decent players, but neither are shooters, which might gum up the flex offense.
I can haz more PT? Mike Bruesewitz is the obvious choice to get some more minutes, except that they would come at the expense of Jon Leuer and Keaton Nankivil, who are both more effective than he is. I would posit that it is Leuer's health, really, and the corresponding minutes that he's able to play, that is the key to next season's success.

All Big Ten Players
F- Green, Draymond (40.7) 23.7 / .5821
F- Hummel, Robbie (51.9) 27.3 / .5262
C- Leuer, Jon (38.2) 18.2 / .4765
PG- McCamey, Demetri (58.2) 26.2 /.4502
SG- Turner, Evan (56.5) 34.9 / .5484

PF- Shurna, John (57.9) 25.1 / .4335
SF- Morgan, Raymar (43.9) 19.3 / .4385
C- Mirkovic, Luka (42.5) 19.6 / .4596
SG- Buford, William (55.6) 23.2 / .4169
PG- Battle, Talor (58.2) 24.1 / .4145

PF-Johnson, Damian (40.5) 17.3 / .4268
SF- Harris, Manny (53.5) 21.3 / .3974
C-Sampson, Ralph (41.9) 18.9 / .4521
SG- Bohannon, Jason (54.4) 19.0 / .3496
PG- Hughes, Trevon (47.7) 19.8 / .4161

Freshmen Fifteen
PF- Watford, Christian (48.1) 11.1 / .2317
SF- Williams, Rodney (16.7) 5.9 / .3551
C- Griffey, Tyler (13.1) 4.8 / .3676
SG- Crawford, Drew (44.3) 13.8 / .3109
PG- Frazier, Tim (23.6) 6.3 / .2673

PF- Elston, Derek (21.9) 7.3 / .3301
SF- Evans, Ryan (15.9) 5.1 / .3166
C- Capobianco, Bobby (21.7) 6.9 / .3162
SG- Vogrich, Matt (6.8) 1.9 / .2886
PG- Morris, Darius (38.5) 10.3 / .2667

PF- Cougill, Brennan (21.5) 4.4 / .2184
SF- May, Eric (51.9) 12.4 / .2386
C- Nix, Derrick (11.1) 3.5 / .3133
SG- Barlow, Kelsey (24.2) 6.8 / .2815
PG- Cobbs, Justin (16.6) 4.4 / .2661

Actual FOY- Richardson, DJ (50.8) 10.5 / .2071